Anyone want to WAG a production estimate after looking at this?

[Sodbuster]

I’ve been following Drew Lerners reports for a lot of years and he’s a lot more right than anyone else. Thanks Larry for your insight on crop production and marketing, used to read your daily reports to help make marketing decisions along with other sources.

[blackpowder]

Wow. 2002 here was a pinnacle of subsequent dry. Sloughs over multiple years disappeared. ZERO crop that one year.
Every acre in sight plowable. June 03 it poured and except for 09 has maintained or added.
If all the brown on that map is as dry to 10' as we were then. We'll all need 10" in June next year alone.

[helmsdale]

God help us if this is year 1 of 3. Most of western Canada will "re-wild" all on its own.

Father in law used to say the first year gets your phucking attention. The second puts you on your knees. The third, god forbid, (envision the sign of the cross being made) puts you under.

[sumdumguy]

Have faith, in the 80’s dry years never repeated, hoping for early safe harvest and a wet October/ November.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

On a side note .....does anyone think another 400000 acres of irrigation will help with that map?????

Interesting to note that even in the irrigation area of southern Alberta there is nothing but browns on the map. Did the heat do that much damage even with irrigation, or is the healthy vegetation under if it's overwhelmed by the corners and the pastures and the fence lines?

[Rareearth]

Seeding dates impact the maps as well. Not sure if they are included in the algorithms?

Aside from that, the maps are obvious.

[farming101]

Interesting to note that even in the irrigation area of southern Alberta there is nothing but browns on the map. Did the heat do that much damage even with irrigation, or is the healthy vegetation under if it's overwhelmed by the corners and the pastures and the fence lines?

August 1

[sumdumguy]

Sorry, double post🤨

[sumdumguy]

This is Alberta? need a legend pls.

[LEP]

This is Alberta? need a legend pls.

It’s an impressionist painting named “Great hope, but sad reality”

[AlbertaFarmer5]

This is Alberta? need a legend pls.

I was lost too. I finally found the word Medicine Hat in the right bottom corner, and Lethbridge in the left side. Then it all made sense.

You can clearly see every pivot as dark blue, and the non-irrigated in between as distinctly different colors.

Upon closer inspection of Larry's map, it appears to make each county its own color. So a minority of irrigation in an otherwise barren county will make the entire county brown.

With the poor granularity, I didn't realize it followed county lines originally.

That explains why the good crops don't show up elsewhere.

Definitely a disaster, but there are a few brightish spots that the map doesn't portray.

[jazz]

I am surprised with as dry as this yr has been they didnt limit water draws for irrigation.

Sucks bad enough when your neighbor gets a shower and you dont but it must really suck when he has a pivot and you dont.

[sumdumguy]

I am surprised with as dry as this yr has been they didnt limit water draws for irrigation.

Sucks bad enough when your neighbor gets a shower and you dont but it must really suck when he has a pivot and you dont.

Pivots with tax payer dollars - another paradigm.

[bucket]

I am surprised with as dry as this yr has been they didnt limit water draws for irrigation.

Sucks bad enough when your neighbor gets a shower and you dont but it must really suck when he has a pivot and you dont.

Really sucks when the guy with the pivot gets 40 bucks an acre for 5 years to grow the same crop as you and they are guaranteed a crop.

Canola, flax, wheat , durum. lentils under pivot rotation....40 bucks an acre per year for the 3 major irrigation districts.

And the government gave them the infrastructure , and the government is picking up the tab for the liner in the canals. SSRID has a 153 million dollar deficiency list the government will pick up.

[Guest]

“And the taxpayer gave them the infrastructure , and the taxpayer is picking up the tab for the liner in the canals. SSRID has a 153 million dollar deficiency list the taxpayers will pick up”


There bucket , fixed it for you
Too many forget who funds the govt