So Angus has skippy with a 5 point lead over the conservatives. Yea let's split the votes and give the liberals a massive majority. Wake up Canada.
Ok, enough let's get on with the crop report. All summer the talk has been COVID< FALL ELECTION>DROUGHT. I hope all ends and we can move on.
Another week of hot weather and min rain or no rain or it just spit and pissed you off. Crops are going backward and now you can really see some are in huge trouble, more bad than good. None great. Harvest has started in most areas two weeks ahead of schedule. We started some barley our peas aren't ready.
So here it is.
HRS is drying down way too fast early seeded wheat has been sprayed and is turning/burning. Harvest on April seeded should begin this weekend. We will start spraying wheat next week and expect yields in our area to be about 40% of normal so guess what bar chart your not even close to what your guess will be. Boots on the ground still trump a guy in an office that knows jack shit and phones two guys he knows that know or say it is ok. 36BPA instead of 90. Yea record volumes of grain movement by railways in 2021 will not happen.
Barley is a total disappointment. It looked good but the last two weeks of filling with zero rain cooked this crop's goose. Barley yields will be 40% of normal. This is on good fields. Lighter sample. small kernels.
Peas south of us where it rained up to 11 inches yields are 30 to 50 BPA where it didn't as much 15 to 20 and where it never rained 1 to 5.
Lentils haven't heard much but yields are down.
Flax is not looking good and just made a few balls and is quitting.
Durum is very little in our area and it is doing like HRS just filling and quitting.
Canola the cinderella crop lost her shoe got stoned drunk fell down a flight of stairs then got up and fell down two more before being run over by the ambulance coming to get her. Yea this crop is ****ed. I am sticking with my 12.7MT crop for now but thinking more and more like it will be 11 mt. Don't let anyone fool you that there is anything huge out there. Our area will be 40% or less than normal.
Pastures are failing so fast it's not even funny. The big problem for lots is sloughs are all gone and dugouts are dropping fast. Some hauling water daily plus now a bit of feed. Cowboys are in trouble. The Green feed that was seeded later is totally ****ed. Millet also not looking good.
Organic guys who worked this spring then seeded later are totally going to come up with zero production or at a min 1 to 5. So is this what our old system of farming back in the 80s would have looked like vs the new system of direct seeding. You only need 5 inches to grow a crop if it's one inch a month and you have some ground moisture. We had 3.5 to 4.5 you just can't achieve good results if the main step moisture doesn't come.
So here is the roundup. Zero rain this last reporting period. Drought continues to take yield every single day. Cloud and smoke are just a delay not saving the crop like in the past it's just too dry. Where it hailed some areas got hit again and if it wasn't 100% the first time it sure is now. Guys are working on peas and barley no one is getting the swathers out so far as swaths are too thin to make it till the combine arrives. Canola will be thick and thin and nothing so swaths are prone to blow in the wind away.
I have to ask where is our Ag Minister, see we have this thing in western Canada that's a drought and maybe it's kind of important. Sort of like the 5 billion given to dairy down east when the free trade deal with the USA cost those farmers less than 3% market share but you rewarded them with a payout for no real loss. Here in western Canada were losing billions and not a peep except climate change and blah blah blah. Yesterday it was announced the 50% to 75% early AG stab joke so you can get your money now only to pay it back for no real reason next year and you didn't even have a crop.
I have to ask Sask Crop Insurance too has a bunch of companies underwriting the insurance company to cover huge losses. It is basically guaranteed. My question is how strong are private insurance companies and can they cover this loss or will it be a partial payment and a handshake. Just asking for a friend because if your guaranteed 400 an acre it could be a huge payout.
Wouldnt a better system be new improved crop insurance that addresses market prices (20 canola market and 12 sask crop insurance new price is 16) 70 80 or 90 with normal premium. Piss on all the rest.
It's too late for this year and probably the feds and provinces won't agree on anything so it's the same old nothing for farmers just lots of talk and talk is cheap.
Be safe have a great week, remember we're all in this shit show together yes a few have better yields but by the look of the latest map, it's a very few. Talk to your neighbors.
Ok, enough let's get on with the crop report. All summer the talk has been COVID< FALL ELECTION>DROUGHT. I hope all ends and we can move on.
Another week of hot weather and min rain or no rain or it just spit and pissed you off. Crops are going backward and now you can really see some are in huge trouble, more bad than good. None great. Harvest has started in most areas two weeks ahead of schedule. We started some barley our peas aren't ready.
So here it is.
HRS is drying down way too fast early seeded wheat has been sprayed and is turning/burning. Harvest on April seeded should begin this weekend. We will start spraying wheat next week and expect yields in our area to be about 40% of normal so guess what bar chart your not even close to what your guess will be. Boots on the ground still trump a guy in an office that knows jack shit and phones two guys he knows that know or say it is ok. 36BPA instead of 90. Yea record volumes of grain movement by railways in 2021 will not happen.
Barley is a total disappointment. It looked good but the last two weeks of filling with zero rain cooked this crop's goose. Barley yields will be 40% of normal. This is on good fields. Lighter sample. small kernels.
Peas south of us where it rained up to 11 inches yields are 30 to 50 BPA where it didn't as much 15 to 20 and where it never rained 1 to 5.
Lentils haven't heard much but yields are down.
Flax is not looking good and just made a few balls and is quitting.
Durum is very little in our area and it is doing like HRS just filling and quitting.
Canola the cinderella crop lost her shoe got stoned drunk fell down a flight of stairs then got up and fell down two more before being run over by the ambulance coming to get her. Yea this crop is ****ed. I am sticking with my 12.7MT crop for now but thinking more and more like it will be 11 mt. Don't let anyone fool you that there is anything huge out there. Our area will be 40% or less than normal.
Pastures are failing so fast it's not even funny. The big problem for lots is sloughs are all gone and dugouts are dropping fast. Some hauling water daily plus now a bit of feed. Cowboys are in trouble. The Green feed that was seeded later is totally ****ed. Millet also not looking good.
Organic guys who worked this spring then seeded later are totally going to come up with zero production or at a min 1 to 5. So is this what our old system of farming back in the 80s would have looked like vs the new system of direct seeding. You only need 5 inches to grow a crop if it's one inch a month and you have some ground moisture. We had 3.5 to 4.5 you just can't achieve good results if the main step moisture doesn't come.
So here is the roundup. Zero rain this last reporting period. Drought continues to take yield every single day. Cloud and smoke are just a delay not saving the crop like in the past it's just too dry. Where it hailed some areas got hit again and if it wasn't 100% the first time it sure is now. Guys are working on peas and barley no one is getting the swathers out so far as swaths are too thin to make it till the combine arrives. Canola will be thick and thin and nothing so swaths are prone to blow in the wind away.
I have to ask where is our Ag Minister, see we have this thing in western Canada that's a drought and maybe it's kind of important. Sort of like the 5 billion given to dairy down east when the free trade deal with the USA cost those farmers less than 3% market share but you rewarded them with a payout for no real loss. Here in western Canada were losing billions and not a peep except climate change and blah blah blah. Yesterday it was announced the 50% to 75% early AG stab joke so you can get your money now only to pay it back for no real reason next year and you didn't even have a crop.
I have to ask Sask Crop Insurance too has a bunch of companies underwriting the insurance company to cover huge losses. It is basically guaranteed. My question is how strong are private insurance companies and can they cover this loss or will it be a partial payment and a handshake. Just asking for a friend because if your guaranteed 400 an acre it could be a huge payout.
Wouldnt a better system be new improved crop insurance that addresses market prices (20 canola market and 12 sask crop insurance new price is 16) 70 80 or 90 with normal premium. Piss on all the rest.
It's too late for this year and probably the feds and provinces won't agree on anything so it's the same old nothing for farmers just lots of talk and talk is cheap.
Be safe have a great week, remember we're all in this shit show together yes a few have better yields but by the look of the latest map, it's a very few. Talk to your neighbors.
our area crops are decent or are they? Hoppers cleaning a canola crop.Think farmers better swath canola as soon as it is fit.
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