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    #13
    I said it before and I will say it again from someone who actually did a crop tour and actually has grown canola since the 70s on our farm the total production number is





    12.7 or lower.

    Not a satellite just boots on the ground.

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      #14
      Estimating a crop once the combine roll is not or shouldn't be rocket science for the people in government.

      If you look at a 5 year average in canola as an example. And guys say their yield is off 60 percent or the y are getting 40 percent of average..

      21MMT times 0.4 equals 8.4MMt . Do I think we are that low , its getting closer to that every day and any estimate over 14MMT is manipulation of the market and should be investigated as such.

      When Statscan or agcanda can buffer the numbers 2 years after the fact , the system isn't working.

      My guess would be by 2023 , this current drought holds, Canada will be importing more than just canola.

      Disclaimer by the dumbphuckled farmer: An inch of rain does not cure a drought!!!!!!
      Last edited by bucket; Sep 1, 2021, 07:12.

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        #15
        Originally posted by bucket View Post
        Estimating a crop once the combine roll is not or shouldn't be rocket science for the people in government.

        If you look at a 5 year average in canola as an example. And guys say their yield is off 60 percent or the y are getting 40 percent of average..

        21MMT times 0.4 equals 8.4MMt . Do I think we are that low , its getting closer to that every day and any estimate over 14MMT is manipulation of the market and should be investigated as such.

        When Statscan or agcanda can buffer the numbers 2 years after the fact , the system isn't working.

        My guess would be by 2023 , this current drought holds, Canada will be importing more than just canola.

        Disclaimer by the dumbphuckled farmer: An inch of rain does not cure a drought!!!!!!
        Excellent post and very accurate, well said

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