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    #16
    Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
    I don't think Larry ever did post the results of his analysis, but the hint was that it was in the single digits. More corrections yet to come?

    Satellite images can't distingiush an empty/blank pod on a green plant from a full pod on a green plant.
    Canola in our area was also quite weedy this year which on satellite imagery makes the crop look better than it actually is. The only way to estimate the crop size is do like SF3 and drive, drive, drive………

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      #17
      Originally posted by blackpowder View Post
      Just remember, everything has it's limits. At what price does demand destruct. Everything is replaceable.
      At $20 give or take, the market is likely bumping against its limits. However, the market seems to jump up and down by dollars per bushel instead of cents, so careful marketing can still make a big difference to the bottom line. Especially with a smaller crop.

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        #18
        Where’s Townsend? How big is the crow that he needs to eat?

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          #19
          How the hell does he still have a job ???

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            #20
            Originally posted by Jay-mo View Post
            At $20 give or take, the market is likely bumping against its limits. However, the market seems to jump up and down by dollars per bushel instead of cents, so careful marketing can still make a big difference to the bottom line. Especially with a smaller crop.
            There is no replacement for durum. Canada and ND have a lock on that production.

            That would be one of the smallest crops in more than 20 yrs if I am not mistaken.

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              #21
              Originally posted by jazz View Post
              There is no replacement for durum. Canada and ND have a lock on that production.

              That would be one of the smallest crops in more than 20 yrs if I am not mistaken.
              No easy substitute.

              I recently read and posted somewhere here that Turkey - I think it was - okayed using soft wheat as a replacement for durum for pasta purposes consumption in their domestic market.

              But a short search has not brought that piece up for me now so I stand to be corrected.

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                #22
                Originally posted by jazz View Post
                There is no replacement for durum. Canada and ND have a lock on that production.

                That would be one of the smallest crops in more than 20 yrs if I am not mistaken.
                Might be a good time to invest in spud plants between bad economy and wheat shortage many will have to eat cheap fries in car instead of fine dinning in fancy pasta restaurants.

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                  #23
                  For durum I would like to know if you bought 10 bucks worth of pasta how much of that goes toward the cost of their durum.Used to hear a loaf of bread had pennies worth of wheat in it.I would take a wild guess and say 10 dollars worth of pasta has a dollar worth of durum.So now it may have 2 dollars worth of durum and it cost 11 bucks.This is a total guess but would be interesting to know an accurate cost.

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                    #24
                    Stats Can report close to reality on canola now, didn’t here the carry over but I doubt it would be much with $20 canola. Thinking we won’t see much of a rise in the canola market until most of the contracted canola has been delivered and producers have sold enough to cover their financial obligations. Expecting oats to hit $6 in the near future with production and acres harvested being down big time.

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                      #25
                      Originally posted by burnt View Post
                      No easy substitute.

                      I recently read and posted somewhere here that Turkey - I think it was - okayed using soft wheat as a replacement for durum for pasta purposes consumption in their domestic market.

                      But a short search has not brought that piece up for me now so I stand to be corrected.
                      I was talking to a grain buyer the other day and he said up to 8% of another wheat can be blended with durum to make pasta.

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                        #26
                        Originally posted by rumrocks View Post
                        I was talking to a grain buyer the other day and he said up to 8% of another wheat can be blended with durum to make pasta.
                        Wasn’t Glenlea meant for that purpose?

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                          #27
                          Originally posted by WiltonRanch View Post
                          Wasn’t Glenlea meant for that purpose?
                          We used to grow that shit.
                          Never combined a dry bushel.
                          Seeds were huge...

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