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Alberta Climate Records

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    Alberta Climate Records

    Alberta Climate Records

    http://albertaclimaterecords.com/#

    Excellent website from the University of Lethbridge that visually shows the changing climate in Alberta.

    About

    The Alberta Climate Records website was developed by Christine Clark, Assistant Professor of New Media, and Dr. Stefan W. Kienzle, Professor of Hydrology and GIS, both at the University of Lethbridge, Alberta. The visualizations feature a dataset of over 500 million weather data between 1951 and 2017 for 6,834 locations across Alberta.


    Key Messages

    39 temperature indices and 16 precipitation indices were calculated for the period 1951 to 2017 for the Province of Alberta, including trend analysis with significance levels.
    Results provide a compelling picture of overall warming and changes of weather extremes. It could be confirmed that Alberta's climate is warming stronger than the global average.
    Annual average temperatures have increased by 1 - 2.5°C in the South, and by 2 - over 3°C in the North
    Winters are showing the strongest warming, with 4 - 5°C in the South and 6 - 7°C in the North.
    Summers are showing the weakest warming, ranging from about 0.5 - 1.5°C.
    Generally, and with few exceptions, the number of extremely cold days, when the minimum temperature falls below -20°C, has about halved across Alberta since the 1950s.
    Fluctuations between warm and cold weather is strongly increasing, indicated by the mostly doubling to four-folding of the number of heatwaves, while the number of cold spells has doubled to four-folded in most of Alberta.
    With the exception of regions with high elevations, snowfall is being replaced by rainfall (because of shorter winters).
    The growing season has lengthened by between 2 and 5 weeks per year.
    In southern and central Alberta, average annual precipitation will slightly increase the future. However, the fluctuation between dry and wet years will increase, resulting in increased risk of floods and droughts.
    The increased precipitation will mostly be balanced by much increased annual potential evapotranspiration by 100 - 300mm, resulting in decreased soil moisture.
    Freeze-thaw days are increasing strongly in central and northern Alberta, resulting in increased weathering/stress on infrastructure (concrete, potholes)
    Energy requirements for heating have decreased by about 10 - 15%, but the energy requirements for cooling are increasing in SE Alberta.
    The trends reported here are likely to continue and accelerate, thus providing an indication of what we expect in the near future.
    Historical temperature records are no longer a true indicator for the future, and society must adapt to the new conditions.

    #2
    South and east of Lethbridge the climate trend indicates increased
    annual potential evapotranspiration of 75 - 100mm (3-4) inches
    between 1951 and 2017.

    That's a very large change over time that means much less moisture for forages and crops.

    Comment


      #3
      Will there be any oppertunities if the climate gets warmer in Alberta Chuck?

      Comment


        #4
        Thanks for posting Chuck. Not sure why you thought it needed to be posted again, since you already posted this a couple of years ago. I've been referencing this site regularly since then.

        When I saw you had resposted it, I was hoping that meant they had updated it, to include the present day, and stretched it back further, but no.

        1951 is a coincidental start date, since it avoids all of the warm years of the first half of the century, specifically the 30's, being much warmer and more extreme in all ways than today. And the 50's through the 70's were the coldest decades since we settled the prairies, so it makes a good cherry picked start date.

        As I have stated before, this area was growing a lot of grain prior to 1950's, including wheat, flax etc. Most had mostly given up by the end of the 70's, we are just recently getting back to being able to grow grain, even wheat again, if you consider seeding and harvesting frozen crops n the snow to be successful...

        Comment


          #5
          A5 show us the data and analysis for the period 1900 -1950. Because unless we have that data, we would have to take your word for the "cherry picked" data.

          In other words prove that the period 1900 - 1950 would change the outcome significantly when 1951 -2017 are included.

          But you are in agreement with data and analysis from 1951 - 2017 which clearly show a significant change in key climate indicators?
          Last edited by chuckChuck; Oct 31, 2021, 11:02.

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
            Thanks for posting Chuck. Not sure why you thought it needed to be posted again, since you already posted this a couple of years ago. I've been referencing this site regularly since then.

            When I saw you had resposted it, I was hoping that meant they had updated it, to include the present day, and stretched it back further, but no.

            1951 is a coincidental start date, since it avoids all of the warm years of the first half of the century, specifically the 30's, being much warmer and more extreme in all ways than today. And the 50's through the 70's were the coldest decades since we settled the prairies, so it makes a good cherry picked start date.

            As I have stated before, this area was growing a lot of grain prior to 1950's, including wheat, flax etc. Most had mostly given up by the end of the 70's, we are just recently getting back to being able to grow grain, even wheat again, if you consider seeding and harvesting frozen crops n the snow to be successful...
            Rain gauges and thermometers weren't invented on Jan. 1 1951, this is one reason why skeptics exist, but you can't explain this to world leaders meeting for a global warming conference who are waking up with a hangover. Have that talk with your local climatologist and vote accordingly.

            Comment


              #7
              Again. It’s a scam. Wealth transfer scam nothing more. When Obama buys at multi million dollar estate that is at sea level on the east coast Let’s go Brandon

              Comment


                #8
                Anyone hear of, (Our Environment is Collapsing) Anastasia Fyk, who farms north of Dauphin?

                Comment


                  #9
                  Biden traveled to Glasgow with 65 vehicle flown in and this clown is going to save the planet. It is a scam. We are all supposed to go electric but nobody wants to built a powerplant. windmills and solar panels don't cut it.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by shtferbrains View Post
                    Will there be any oppertunities if the climate gets warmer in Alberta Chuck?
                    If Chuck is right, then this year would be a good proxy for what we have to look forward to.

                    We grew our best crops ever, quality and quantity. Could have farmed every acre of swamp and pasture if I had known this was coming. If this was normal, there would be 10 times as much crop land out out this far west. I assume the same thing applies on the northern fringes.

                    So assume we would lose acres of 20 bushel wheat ground in the Palliser triangle and replace it with 100+ bushel ground in the cooler wetter areas. For not much more fuel, chemical, seed, labor, etc. Which is better for the environment, which is more sustainable?

                    I need to look up the study we discussed here a while back, indicating that Canada's agriculture stood to gain from global warming. Too bad we are already entrenched into the next cooling phase though.

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Stick to the subject of the thread which is the changing climate in Alberta as shown by the University of Lethbridge Alberta climate records.

                      Show us the evidence that the climate is not changing or post somewhere else.

                      Comment


                        #12
                        66 years of records is just that and only that.

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by chuckChuck View Post

                          But you are in agreement with data and analysis from 1951 - 2017 which clearly show a significant change in key climate indicators?
                          Yes, when you start your measurements close to the bottom of the cycle, and end close to the top of the cycle, it will show significant changes. Just like if you were to measure the temperature today starting at dawn, and stopping in early afternoon. Then extrapolating that back and forth in time. Completely ignoring the cyclical nature of daylight.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
                            If Chuck is right, then this year would be a good proxy for what we have to look forward to.

                            We grew our best crops ever, quality and quantity. Could have farmed every acre of swamp and pasture if I had known this was coming. If this was normal, there would be 10 times as much crop land out out this far west. I assume the same thing applies on the northern fringes.

                            So assume we would lose acres of 20 bushel wheat ground in the Palliser triangle and replace it with 100+ bushel ground in the cooler wetter areas. For not much more fuel, chemical, seed, labor, etc. Which is better for the environment, which is more sustainable?

                            I need to look up the study we discussed here a while back, indicating that Canada's agriculture stood to gain from global warming. Too bad we are already entrenched into the next cooling phase though.
                            Quote from A5 direct from the horses mouth "If Chuck is right, then this year would be a good proxy for what we have to look forward to." Jeez A5 I may be wrong, But I don't think a lot of farmers west of Moose Jaw are hoping this is the new normal and are looking forward to very little crop again!

                            So was the near record and record heat in 2021 was that an indicator we are in the cooling phase? I don't think so. But it was only one year but a memorable one to be sure. But the summer of 2020 was pretty hot and dry too.

                            So when southern prairie farmers who suffer drought and crop loss and water shortages and increased evapotranspiration - too bad. But because central and northern grain farmers will do better - no problem? Is that your conclusion and feelings?

                            We are waiting for the data and analysis that shows the period 1900 - 1950 significantly impacts changes from 1951 -2017.
                            Last edited by chuckChuck; Oct 31, 2021, 11:35.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              So paying tax is going to change that?......bahhhhhaaaaa.

                              Comment

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