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    #37
    Originally posted by farming101 View Post
    8.70 is a good objective.
    9.15 slowly falling to 8.70 at the present time has been on the screen for ages. Just had no idea of the timing when price might reach out for that mark
    March Chicago wheat topped $8.70 tonight.

    It will be interesting to see what happens after the US Thanksgiving holiday.

    Over the decades I've come to expect markets to go against the trend ahead of major holidays (on profit taking, reducing risk) then move sharply in the direction of the trend following the holiday (as they reinstate lifted positions).

    Not sure what will be in store for wheat next week after this week's strength.

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      #38
      I wouldn't be too concerned about lower volumes indicating price direction.
      More of a concern when you want to trade in a timely manner.
      Looks like WEAT should have plenty of liquidity

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        #39
        All the commodities seem to be trending upwards, its difficult to pick a top in a single commodity

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          #40
          Originally posted by TechAnalyst View Post
          March Chicago wheat topped $8.70 tonight.

          It will be interesting to see what happens after the US Thanksgiving holiday.

          Over the decades I've come to expect markets to go against the trend ahead of major holidays (on profit taking, reducing risk) then move sharply in the direction of the trend following the holiday (as they reinstate lifted positions).

          Not sure what will be in store for wheat next week after this week's strength.
          "It's been a long time comin', but now it's here"

          I think this level will be respected. A retrace is overdue. Maybe a .382 move to about 8.30 based off the Nov 8 low. I could be wrong

          It would be a bonus to see 916 3/4, the Feb 14, 2011 high taken out. There is also the 947 1/4 high on July 23, 2012.

          Comment


            #41
            Originally posted by Rareearth View Post
            All the commodities seem to be trending upwards, its difficult to pick a top in a single commodity
            If these up trending markets are simply a manifestation of inflation, rather than reflecting fundamental supply and demand, then picking the top is about as futile as picking the corner on a sphere.

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              #42
              Heads up . . . bearish reversal in Chicago today.

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                #43
                Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
                Heads up . . . bearish reversal in Chicago today.
                It does bear watching but at this point it appears to be simply profit taking ahead of the holiday (that I mentioned in a previous post). Other clues that I follow suggest the bull market is still alive and well.

                The action to start next week will be key. A weak close Monday may be the start of the correction wheatking has been looking for.

                If so, not a bad level to sell a bit to reward the bull (for those looking for a reason to).

                Comment


                  #44
                  An opinion from Australia . . . .

                  Lock in your Wheat price.

                  Yesterdays outside bearish reversal aides my Short Call on Wheat.

                  Currently trading at $8.50 on CBOT,
                  Looking for an initial downside target into the $7.81-$7.67 range.
                  $7.75 to be specific.

                  The medium term target surrounds the $7.12 area.

                  November 25, 2021
                  Rob Zdravevski

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                    #45
                    Chicago closed a fair bit off the .382 so that's good. However could be some attempts at .500, 8.20 or so based on the last couple trading days.
                    MW/ZW is over 200 again so what do I know...
                    Maybe the bulls stayed out at the cabin/lake/beach and the bears were doing the driving today

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                      #46
                      Outside day lower
                      500 retrace was at 818 1/2, low was 818 3/4. Turn around Tuesday?

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                        #47
                        NOPE!

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                          #48
                          Originally posted by farming101 View Post
                          NOPE!
                          At what point does this go from being a correction within a bull market, to something else?

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