What bids are out there lately? I see Pioneer Yorkton is $23.15 April
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Markets making me extremely nervous these days. Should be very little canola out there left to sell so should only go up. On the other hand if the Russia/Ukraine situation becomes a serious problem I could see a steep decline in markets. Thoughts?
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Originally posted by KochiaKing View PostMarkets making me extremely nervous these days. Should be very little canola out there left to sell so should only go up. On the other hand if the Russia/Ukraine situation becomes a serious problem I could see a steep decline in markets. Thoughts?
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Crush margins are not too great, in fact the ICE crush margin calculator has been running in the red.
In the real world I think the margin is bit positive
Higher bean oil prices will support Canola. Not sure whether it will be enough to translate into new highs for Canola seed. Since Dec 21 Canola has been more of a follower to bean oil, not a leader.
Soy will be the oil of choice to replace canola oil if needed
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Canola prices have stayed flat more or less for the last few months around here. In November we could have got $23.50/bu, then it peaked a little over $24, then it dropped to high $22s and now $24 for July.
To me it seems like canola prices have met the glass ceiling and there’s very little room for prices to increases. (Don’t get me wrong $24 canola is fantastic and I’m not complaining).
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Bids for nearby delivery to elevators have improved lately.
Crush plants might have to up their game as I don't think the present export pace can be sustained without the crush plants running low on feedstock
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