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    #16
    Originally posted by helmsdale View Post
    Errol, I respect your temerity for posting within the Covid forum even though it is mis-labeled as the "commodity marketing" forum. May many a brave lad/lass follow your lead!
    Errol the propensity of Biden to mess with black oil/NG is bound to cause wild volatility... or is Biden bluffing about embargoing Russian oil?

    Do a nuclear deal with Iran and buy their oil instead???

    It is hard to believe this can land well at the conclusion of the Russian remake of the EU?

    Comment


      #17
      An observation . . . crude oil today is trading at the same level as three (3) weeks ago.

      This smells like the oil top is in . . . .

      Sanctions will hurt Russia. Their economy is not very big, about the size of Canada, I believe.

      There has to be a very big fish out there, to take these risks. An opinion . . . .

      Comment


        #18
        The sanctions against Russia were limited, Nord stream 2 is again held up which impacts gas . Putin won't be stopped by what we saw yesterday from the international community though he may be pondering taking Ukraine piece by piece over time rather than all at once . This week's discussions over the Iran nuclear deal have more import . Writing was on the wall for a tech sector consolidation with interest rates signalling they would start moving up. Odds were grains were going to see better conditions somewhere but they haven't SA is is a mess dry where it's dry and horribly wet where it's wet, beans rotting in pods , The oilseed complex is up overnight May canola flirting with its 52 week high.
        Interesting times, just hoping oil can hold in there for a month for shares bought in Feb March 21 and need that 365 days for better tax treatment of gains.
        Last edited by mcfarms; Feb 23, 2022, 07:36.

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          #19
          Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
          An observation . . . crude oil today is trading at the same level as three (3) weeks ago.

          This smells like the oil top is in . . . .

          Sanctions will hurt Russia. Their economy is not very big, about the size of Canada, I believe.

          There has to be a very big fish out there, to take these risks. An opinion . . . .
          I agree with your oil idea.

          Here is my tweet from yesterday.

          Click image for larger version

Name:	FireShot Capture 090 - Trent Klarenbach on Twitter_ _$oil could be ready to slow down, maybe_ - .jpg
Views:	1
Size:	13.6 KB
ID:	773157

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            #20
            Rule of thumb . . . when bubbles burst, the crash is just beginning. Tech washout could quickly spread into the real estate bubble . . . .

            Comment


              #21
              Grains, gold, crude oil, USD rocketing . . . .

              Stock markets, cryptos collapsing . . . .

              Comment


                #22
                Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
                Grains, gold, crude oil, USD rocketing . . . .

                Stock markets, cryptos collapsing . . . .
                I can see cryptos go to zero banned by west to cripple oligarchs and Russian traders.

                Comment


                  #23
                  I think you’ve got your collapse Errol. This shud have been fixed 14 years ago but the idiots in charge chose the route that has led us here.

                  Comment


                    #24
                    Originally posted by FarmJunkie View Post
                    I think you’ve got your collapse Errol. This shud have been fixed 14 years ago but the idiots in charge chose the route that has led us here.
                    This is not the way it should happen. Agree, should have been fixed years ago.

                    Comment


                      #25
                      It’s a bear market . . . . According to Barchart, 66 percent of stocks have now broken their 200-day moving average. Many stocks are now down 50 to 70 percent from their recent January highs.

                      This may take years to recover . . . .

                      Comment


                        #26
                        The 10 worst stock market cap losses of the last 3 months:

                        Meta -$367 billion
                        Microsoft -$350 billion
                        Amazon -$200 billion
                        Tesla -$168 billion
                        Netflix -$130 billion
                        Shopify -$118 billion
                        Nvidia -$118 billion
                        PayPal -$115 billion
                        Salesforce -$101 billion
                        Adobe -$98 billion

                        Markets appear to be entering the 'money-under-the-mattress phase . . . .

                        Comment


                          #27
                          Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
                          The 10 worst stock market cap losses of the last 3 months:

                          Meta -$367 billion
                          Microsoft -$350 billion
                          Amazon -$200 billion
                          Tesla -$168 billion
                          Netflix -$130 billion
                          Shopify -$118 billion
                          Nvidia -$118 billion
                          PayPal -$115 billion
                          Salesforce -$101 billion
                          Adobe -$98 billion

                          Markets appear to be entering the 'money-under-the-mattress phase . . . .
                          That’s only $2T…. They just passed a $2T US spending bill!!!

                          How does this work?
                          If you add $7T to the US economic system… where does it go??? Plus the EU… Chinese… Asia-Pacific… $20T???

                          Just asking…where did all that currency go? Inflation of real estate, equipment… food /feed/ energy gets consumed…

                          Big balance sheet!

                          Comment


                            #28
                            Just shuffling chairs on the deck of the Titanic. Tech to materials.

                            Comment


                              #29
                              Originally posted by agstar77 View Post
                              Just shuffling chairs on the deck of the Titanic. Tech to materials.
                              Add $2 trillion to a spiralling $30 trillion plus U.S. debt. U.S. infrastructure in a poor state. More bridges at risk? This will take years of repair and can’t be ignored . . . .

                              Tech is a different world and appears in serious trouble. Investors are getting an overdue tune-up and education.

                              Comment


                                #30
                                Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
                                Add $2 trillion to a spiralling $30 trillion plus U.S. debt. U.S. infrastructure in a poor state. More bridges at risk? This will take years of repair and can’t be ignored . . . .

                                Tech is a different world and appears in serious trouble. Investors are getting an overdue tune-up and education.
                                I don’t think this can be repaired , hence they let Russia waltz into the Ukraine... I could be wrong

                                Everything being yapped about is reactionary, they had nearly two months to try to stop it
                                No one did a thing , just pushed covid , covid , covid . Sad for the actual citizens of Ukraine caught in the middle . And now the massive spike in inflation on the the rest of the world that’s not billionaires. They can ride this out , no one else
                                Last edited by furrowtickler; Mar 13, 2022, 22:05.

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