Just thinking out loud.
Has Russia, been stockpiling fertilizer, chemicals, tires, parts, equipment, lubricants, consumer goods, etc. for the past ~2 years preparing for inevitable sanctions?
Assuming the leaders aren't complete fools, they had to know that the sanctions would happen when they invaded, as has been the case previously. The previous rounds of sanctions already had a drastic effect on their self sufficiency in food for example, where they used to import massive amounts of vegetables, fruit, dairy, and meat from Europe, sanctions made the prices go up, and increased production at home. Have they been protecting the rest of their supply chains in a similar way, especially those that come directly from China? Have they locked up years worth of inputs in preparation for a long drawn out economic war with the west? China blames Covid related disruptions, whereas in reality have they been sending them directly to Russia, or stockpiling in preparations for their own ambitions?
If so, can they out wait the west, who will freeze starving in the dark without their energy and agricultural exports?
Has Russia, been stockpiling fertilizer, chemicals, tires, parts, equipment, lubricants, consumer goods, etc. for the past ~2 years preparing for inevitable sanctions?
Assuming the leaders aren't complete fools, they had to know that the sanctions would happen when they invaded, as has been the case previously. The previous rounds of sanctions already had a drastic effect on their self sufficiency in food for example, where they used to import massive amounts of vegetables, fruit, dairy, and meat from Europe, sanctions made the prices go up, and increased production at home. Have they been protecting the rest of their supply chains in a similar way, especially those that come directly from China? Have they locked up years worth of inputs in preparation for a long drawn out economic war with the west? China blames Covid related disruptions, whereas in reality have they been sending them directly to Russia, or stockpiling in preparations for their own ambitions?
If so, can they out wait the west, who will freeze starving in the dark without their energy and agricultural exports?
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