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Is a Liquidity crisis on horizon?

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    #11
    Buying expensive fertilizer to produce cheap wheat will produce a liquidity crisis. Markets are down on India wheat exports and the likely cessation of hostilities in the Ukraine.

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      #12
      Originally posted by ajl View Post
      Buying expensive fertilizer to produce cheap wheat will produce a liquidity crisis. Markets are down on India wheat exports and the likely cessation of hostilities in the Ukraine.
      Looks like reality will eventually hit the clueless virtue signalers.

      I mean when a country controls 40% of the food, 10% of the O&G, 25% of the fertilizer, 50% of the uranium not to mention Nickle, neon, palladium, you STFU and go talk to them.

      And if you dont want to talk to them, then develop your own.

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        #13
        Originally posted by jazz View Post
        Looks like reality will eventually hit the clueless virtue signalers.

        I mean when a country controls 40% of the food, 10% of the O&G, 25% of the fertilizer, 50% of the uranium not to mention Nickle, neon, palladium, you STFU and go talk to them.

        And if you dont want to talk to them, then develop your own.
        I don’t know if reality will hit these Liberals, they seem intent on ramming full steam ahead.
        Enviro policy being released today.
        Minister says it is in fact her job to censor the media.
        Carbon tax which affects rural Canada disproportionately increasingly rapidly.
        Etc etc

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          #14
          Originally posted by jazz View Post
          Looks like reality will eventually hit the clueless virtue signalers.

          I mean when a country controls 40% of the food, 10% of the O&G, 25% of the fertilizer, 50% of the uranium not to mention Nickle, neon, palladium, you STFU and go talk to them.

          And if you dont want to talk to them, then develop your own.
          That sounds familiar.
          So if you live in a city which produces nothing. And truckers are responsible for bringing in 100% of the necessities of life which makes life in a city even possible. And furthermore, they pay the taxes which pay your salaries. They literally hold your life in their hands. Perhaps talking to them wouldn't be a bad idea .

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            #15
            I will ask this question, what is the US biggest export?

            Is it oil? Soybean or corn?

            No the US largest export is the US dollar. They use that reserve currency to flood the world with USD denominated debt and force transaction in that currency.

            And yes there are benefits to a reserve currency and smooth flow of trade, but that status can be weaponized as well.

            Thats the whole reason the US doesnt want to make anything at home anymore, because they would rather get it from another country and export the USD.

            Now that has a down side too, because it depends on low rates. Now that Putin has made some dents, the US will be forced to raise rates to defend the USD. And that in turn will export inflation around the world and the goods coming back to the US with it.

            And other central banks are in on it too. US fed sends USD to Japan, Canada, EU which is then payable pack in USD and those banks convert it to their currency and feed it into their economies. Nobody in Canada including our own central bank could buy $1T in Canada govt bonds. The US fed reserve owns those.

            Globalization is not your fathers economics 101.

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              #16
              I’m not sure central banks can kick the can any further without it back firing. There are a number of things happening simultaneously now that have the potential to cause a collapse of the monetary system. From what I can tell Russia and china are likely to abandon the US dollar which would mean the death of it as the global reserve currency. This will have huge consequences for the states and Canada, none of which will be good.
              I just want to throw out a theory for consideration here and I’m no expert by any means lol.
              Did the world really think Putin was so stupid as to not assume that he would be faced with economic consequences? One would assume he knew this would happen, and I wonder if he was counting on it, and knew that in the end the west will suffer more than Russia will. This invasion of Ukraine is a big FU to the west, and he most likely had contingency plans in place with nations like China cause he anticipated the economic sanctions from the west, once he moved into Ukraine. It is reasonable to assume that by Putin creating these economic alliances ahead of time he will insure Russia’s economic sustainability. Is it possible that in the end he will gain the biggest win of this conflict and that is the collapse of the USD as the reserve world currency and a huge blow to the west? Putin is playing a global chess game and one would think he had this all planned out.

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                #17
                Is it also possible that the USA is now seeing what is about to happen to them which is why Biden is spouting war and regime change rhetoric with Russia now? Does the Us now realize they have been out smarted and stand to loose everything unless they remove Putin from power? I find it interesting that the west has talked about Putin escalating this conflict beyond Ukraine if he gets back into a corner by the west BUT……..
                Is that role now been reversed and it is the US that has now been backed into a corner and have no choice but to go after Putin or face certain economic collapse?
                Last edited by cuban_assassin; Mar 30, 2022, 09:46.

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                  #18
                  Originally posted by cuban_assassin View Post
                  I’m not sure central banks can kick the can any further without it back firing. There are a number of things happening simultaneously now that have the potential to cause a collapse of the monetary system. From what I can tell Russia and china are likely to abandon the US dollar which would mean the death of it as the global reserve currency. This will have huge consequences for the states and Canada, none of which will be good.
                  I just want to throw out a theory for consideration here and I’m no expert by any means lol.
                  Did the world really think Putin was so stupid as to not assume that he would be faced with economic consequences? One would assume he knew this would happen, and I wonder if he was counting on it, and knew that in the end the west will suffer more than Russia will. This invasion of Ukraine is a big FU to the west, and he most likely had contingency plans in place with nations like China cause he anticipated the economic sanctions from the west, once he moved into Ukraine. It is reasonable to assume that by Putin creating these economic alliances ahead of time he will insure Russia’s economic sustainability. Is it possible that in the end he will gain the biggest win of this conflict and that is the collapse of the USD as the reserve world currency and a huge blow to the west? Putin is playing a global chess game and one would think he had this all planned out.
                  He is not that smart or powerful. Russia will be a pariah state as long as he or his henchmen control the country. Paying for the rebuilding of Ukraine will keep Russia third world for years.

                  Comment


                    #19
                    Pretty much anywhere in the world wants the USD. No matter what Russia and China do. Russia is trying to force importers of Russian goods to pay in Rubles to try and give it some support but it isn't working.

                    Never bet against the USD in troubled times.

                    Comment


                      #20
                      Originally posted by agstar77 View Post
                      He is not that smart or powerful. Russia will be a pariah state as long as he or his henchmen control the country. Paying for the rebuilding of Ukraine will keep Russia third world for years.
                      I wonder who really is going to rebuild the Ukraine hmmmm I think I know who.

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