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Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

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    Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

    Good morning all it's great to be back home and playing in the water and snow. No, it really isn't but hey it's spring it's Canada and it is a wonderful time of year when things start to wake up from their long winter nap.

    Today is a big day for grain markets as the USDA comes out at 10 today. Oh, I can't wait. Now yes some areas I drove through last week did get rain and rain will wake them up and get the crop growing but if the pattern doesn't change it won't help much come mid-May to early June. Getting reports some areas already have no snow cover and cracks are still in the ground from last year. The snow was lots in some areas but really was there that much moisture in it. Now in some areas, back roads won't be passable for another month as snowbanks are huge biggest I have ever seen. Till the spring rains come and show us a pattern I wouldn't bet the farm on this crop just yet. The clock for rain starts tomorrow at our weather station. Rain makes grain and mud is a dud, we will have sloughs in our area to start with since it was wet last fall before freezing up.

    Planting intentions are almost back to what they were a few years ago.

    Canola 5000 or half farm.

    Peas 640 or 320 depending on if companies come out with a decent fall price wake up 14 is what it needs to be to buy acres or your just blowing smoke up our ass.

    Barley is the same and pisses me off how the malt and beer market can't figure out they have to pay for raw material it's not just beer awards and paychecks for them it's about what's needed to brew a good beer that's Sask. barley.
    Acres 640 to 320 depending on above before spring.

    The swing area this year is 1000 acres right up till May 1. It could be zero peas and zero barley for the first time in over 20 plus years.

    Wheat seeding is 4000 or 5000 depending on what happens with the above two.

    In reality, if you have a crop insurance average yield on Oats of 70 and can lock in 70 crop insurance and use the $8.00 contracted price why would you grow peas or barley? Yes, 1000 acres is a big pile of oats but hey why not.

    Speaking on crop insurance you have till the 15th of April to do changes finally this year instead of today. Oh have talked to a few in the not bad drought but ****ed up crop still and seems crop insurance was a better bet than some other companies due to shitty barley getting paid or shitty canola getting paid not a basket.

    On land, I am almost done looking Hell if I said I would give a guy $600,000 a quarter, and it's above the market, I would have zero takers. If I said $100 an acre rent I would get zero takers and that's how weird our area has gotten. Guys will let others rent from them for $40 because well they are good boys. HAHAHA. Lots are not getting what they should be. I have young sons who want to play but have no-sandbox to play in. Funny this reminds me of 1981. In 1981 I sat back and just farmed what I had and waited and waited till the flood gates opened and I couldn't buy all that was offered opened up. So is history repeating.

    Chem fert and inputs, in general, will go down a bit but never to the level we used to pay the executives and shareholders think that's the normal price even if it's only a year old. Machinery is crazy you say. Well, I got the price on the new 2023 order for Deere 640 HP tractor loaded wide spacers, etc. It comes in at over 800 large and it won't come till next year.

    But hey if you had an income tax problem guess what 2022 will solve that with all the excess charges we will have to pay.

    So the other thing this week that's pissed me off before spring plant is our leader the right honorable **** up in Ottawa is getting a nice little raise tomorrow 21 large. The little dumb **** is also giving you and me a nice fat surprise on our carbon tax bill going up again and skippy cant figures out why F u c k Trudeau flags are sold out all over Canada.

    2030 is the magic date for what some know or are starting to figure it out others are still lost in la la land.

    Oh, skippy promised a billion for ag to get us to the next level. What diesel-generated charging stations at all farms i am sure eastern farmers will get the lion's share.

    All we farmers can do is sit back and watch the slow-moving train wreck that is happening to Canada.

    One more observation since I got home is how the radio and media and emails and print are all telling how much our check-off money is doing and how well our organizations work for farmers. So I wonder are guys finally sick and pulling their money out.

    Have a great week and a great April hoping for showers to make May flowers.
    Last edited by SASKFARMER; Mar 31, 2022, 08:21.

    #2


    We need more deer hunters and less bullshit. It’s out of control and most will have two more this spring.



    Few more weeks

    Comment


      #3
      Spring wheat acres worldwide?

      Have to be huge acres going in but see wheat board up this am ahead of the report.

      Comment


        #4
        My mind says add wheat and drop all others but deep down in the back of my head, a voice says Barley and zero contracts. Peas are shooting themselves in the foot every day.

        Fert is up and some supplies will be short also some chemicals will be short or not?

        Tie seed and spray who thought this was a good idea.

        Comment


          #5
          Oh wait skippy will tax every combustion engine a flat tax from 1000 to 4000 and up the rebate on electric cars from 5000 to 8000.

          Tesla got 118 mill in subsidies last year

          Comment


            #6
            Yea electric works for a few and usually it’s the wealthy liberals getting the subsidy.

            We will have thousands of vehicles on the road with no plates watch.

            Comment


              #7
              Tesla got 118 mill in subsidies last year

              That for charging stations. For only Teslas. It BS that other EV's not able to use these to charge.

              Comment


                #8
                I’m learning as my starlink has only special starlink cables

                Comment


                  #9
                  Some of you said debts dont matter, that we should pay for everything and everyone cradle to grave.

                  Well we dropped $20B on some jets this week, a few billion to Toyota, some billions more for daycare, and now some untold more billions toward climate change. $40B to native programs etc.

                  And we havent even scratched the pharmacare and pretty teeth program.

                  What else is in the budget?

                  There is no way Canada can pay for this. We are barely a G20 nation. We have the largest sub-sovereign debtor in Ontario along with the biggest sub-sovereign welfare state in Quebec.

                  We have a household debt at $2.2T. And our debt obligations at 300% of GDP.

                  And now throw up some more regs on our only income producing industries. A 25bp in rates has wobbled Canadas housing market already. Imagine a doubling of your GST?

                  This ends one way, with a debt default.
                  Last edited by jazz; Mar 31, 2022, 09:18.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    This government likes to use debt to GDP ratio as a justification for deficit spending.

                    Indeed if the debt increases the productive ability to increase the GDP that can be justified.
                    Unfortunately most of their spending seems to be a no brainer comprised of stop growth to reduce CO2 emissions and pass money out that drops the productivity of the workforce.

                    Comment


                      #11
                      A couple comments and questions.

                      Sf, not to mean ill towards you, but you have ten thousand acres, and your sons have no room on your farm? That’s sure too bad. Couldn’t you rent some to them?

                      Regarding deer. Yes, it looks like there are lots, but LOTS have died, and they are also flocked up in certain areas. If you drove by my yard, you would see way more deer than that, and th8nk the population is healthy. Well, it’s reasonable, but all of them within several miles are in one place, so it looks like they are overpopulated.

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Originally posted by jazz View Post
                        Some of you said debts dont matter, that we should pay for everything and everyone cradle to grave.

                        Well we dropped $20B on some jets this week, a few billion to Toyota, some billions more for daycare, and now some untold more billions toward climate change. $40B to native programs etc.

                        And we havent even scratched the pharmacare and pretty teeth program.

                        What else is in the budget?

                        There is no way Canada can pay for this. We are barely a G20 nation. We have the largest sub-sovereign debtor in Ontario along with the biggest sub-sovereign welfare state in Quebec.

                        We have a household debt at $2.2T. And our debt obligations at 300% of GDP.

                        And now throw up some more regs on our only income producing industries. A 25bp in rates has wobbled Canadas housing market already. Imagine a doubling of your GST?

                        This ends one way, with a debt default.
                        I’m pretty sure that’s been the plan since the Turd started his reign of economic warfare on the West.

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by shtferbrains View Post
                          This government likes to use debt to GDP ratio as a justification for deficit spending.
                          Correction, the govt uses the deficit to GDP ratio. And even thats historically high. People have forgotten about th covid spending because it went through onto the debt now and Trudeau is still spending at that pace.

                          Man this is going to be ugly. All those smug socialists are in for a shock when Trudeau is at the UN and we have a default.

                          My bet is the country cracks before then.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Originally posted by shtferbrains View Post
                            This government likes to use debt to GDP ratio as a justification for deficit spending.

                            Indeed if the debt increases the productive ability to increase the GDP that can be justified.
                            Unfortunately most of their spending seems to be a no brainer comprised of stop growth to reduce CO2 emissions and pass money out that drops the productivity of the workforce.
                            Ask yourself this question, if the govt forces up costs for no reason, and crop prices dont hold, are you going to knock yourself out trying to stay ahead of it?

                            Each to their own, but I wont be adding acres or doing crazy stuff to stay on a treadmill. The govt will probably get their 30% fertilizer reduction out of me.

                            Maybe SF should phone up Monette and move his family to Desantis land.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Originally posted by blueversi View Post
                              I’m pretty sure that’s been the plan since the Turd started his reign of economic warfare on the West.
                              The budget will balance itself.
                              When it can’t , they will build back better after they wipe out the middle class , and everyone but the billionaires will be allowed one EV per family and $500 / month for food and all you money will be tracked . No worries , the government will look after everyone at poverty level . Meanwhile the Trudeau of the world will have their multi million dollar trust funds and continue with a massive footprint like the rest of the billionaires. But you will be happy , and feel good about saving the climate .

                              Comment

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