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Once in a Lifetime Opportunity

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    #21
    Really once in a lifetime, we have been basically half canola half wheat since the 70s. Its just a crop.

    90 wheat can do it also.

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      #22
      That opportunity of a lifetime has a limited shelf life. Basically 2-3 yrs.

      Because in 12 months time, we will either all move to a new price plateau for everything or it all comes tumbling down, probably with crop prices leading the way first if speculative money goes rushing out.

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        #23
        The risk comes this fall if you reload inputs and don't sell into the elevated grain market. Likely have to use some DD contracts. ATM puts will be too expensive with that much time value.

        The pessimistic view is it won't matter, black Swan events seem to come one after another. Monetary failure, bank defaults, another housing crisis at home, market failure?? What happens to the CBOT if any one of ABCD fail?

        I am not a pessimistic person, just some of these weigh on my decisions. Managing risk is my focus.

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