Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

[TOM4CWB]

CDN Praire Precipitation drivers this Summer

[bucket]

near normal in this area of temperature or rainfall will not grow an average crop.


And the longer it takes for a rain the harder it will be for the crop to recover.

[jazz]

The weather network and other forecasters have no idea about normal this or that. The entire western half of the grain belt needs a drink like right now. Its not going to matter if they get rains a month from now.

There is a 2 week dry pattern setting up and temps rising later this week.

Cant help but think this year is really going to put some guys under some financial duress.

[jazz]

But 50 or 100 years out? We got that shit down to the tenth of a degree!

helmsdale, that statement will bring dml into the thread to explain the difference between weather and climate.

[helmsdale]

Things I'm thinking about as I finish up the last couple acres today.

1) Early seeded crops are going to be in BIG trouble if we dont see rain till the back half of June

2) Late seeded crops will be in big trouble maturity wise if we "break the seal" in the back half of june, and it doesn't quit.

3) Anybody that typically relies on a "stored grain advance" in the fall to pay bills which is in a SERIOUS moisture deficit might want to consider taking a "seeded acre advance" that's repayable with crop insurance proceeds before it's too late to sign up. Sure it's money borrowed against your crop insurance payout, but there is ABSOLUTELY no guarantee as to when crop insurance is going to get around to settling up. Hell this last year they were well into February around here doing bin measurements for final settlements!

4) Anybody putting chemical on "layaway" with input suppliers that is due the end of september might want to consider either ensuring they have enough cash advance, or getting on the FCC input LOC train.

There are likely other things I'm not thinking of, but if there literally isn't any grain to sell this fall for bill coverage, it's likely best to assume that crop insurance isn't going to settle in time.

This is going to be year 2 for me, year 3 for the in-laws, and year 4 for guys further to the SE. I've heard this particular fellar on here say, "it's just a crop", and he's right... Just make sure your ducks are in a row before you are backed into a corner. A clear head NOW is significantly better than a distressed head in 3 months time!

[TOM4CWB]

New 10 day Precipitation forecast:

[furrowtickler]

The weather network and other forecasters have no idea about normal this or that. The entire western half of the grain belt needs a drink like right now. Its not going to matter if they get rains a month from now.

There is a 2 week dry pattern setting up and temps rising later this week.

Cant help but think this year is really going to put some guys under some financial duress.

Dryness is a very real long term concern next 14 days
It’s the cold next 48 hours that is critical in this area

[bucket]

Things I'm thinking about as I finish up the last couple acres today.

1) Early seeded crops are going to be in BIG trouble if we dont see rain till the back half of June

2) Late seeded crops will be in big trouble maturity wise if we "break the seal" in the back half of june, and it doesn't quit.

3) Anybody that typically relies on a "stored grain advance" in the fall to pay bills which is in a SERIOUS moisture deficit might want to consider taking a "seeded acre advance" that's repayable with crop insurance proceeds before it's too late to sign up. Sure it's money borrowed against your crop insurance payout, but there is ABSOLUTELY no guarantee as to when crop insurance is going to get around to settling up. Hell this last year they were well into February around here doing bin measurements for final settlements!

4) Anybody putting chemical on "layaway" with input suppliers that is due the end of september might want to consider either ensuring they have enough cash advance, or getting on the FCC input LOC train.

There are likely other things I'm not thinking of, but if there literally isn't any grain to sell this fall for bill coverage, it's likely best to assume that crop insurance isn't going to settle in time.

This is going to be year 2 for me, year 3 for the in-laws, and year 4 for guys further to the SE. I've heard this particular fellar on here say, "it's just a crop", and he's right... Just make sure your ducks are in a row before you are backed into a corner. A clear head NOW is significantly better than a distressed head in 3 months time!

5) grasshoppers set to explode.

[helmsdale]

5) grasshoppers set to explode.

What are they going to eat?

[TOM4CWB]

What are they going to eat?

https://ca.yahoo.com/news/hot-summer-temperatures-big-storms-102933891.html

The Canadian Press
Hot summer temperatures, big storms to sweep much of Canada, Weather Network predicts

Tue, May 31, 2022, 8:50 AM
TORONTO — Seasonal or higher than normal temperatures across much of the country will offer Canadians a chance to enjoy the summer, but predictions from a prominent national forecaster warn the humidity could welcome a rather stormy few months.

Chris Scott, chief meteorologist at The Weather Network, says the heat coupled with an active jet stream will lead to above normal precipitation that runs across the Prairies through to Ontario and Quebec.

While that "doesn't mean every day is going to be a wash-out," Scott says he expects "some rather intense storms from time to time."

Scott says Western Canada isn't shaping up to face the same conditions that led to last year's devastating heat wave and wildfires in British Columbia.

The westernmost province is expected to gradually emerge from a cool spring and into near-normal temperatures starting in June, which he says will drag out the snow melt and slow the start of wildfire season.

Across the Rockies, the extremes of springtime dryness in Alberta and floods in Manitoba will begin to even out, he said, as precipitation across the Prairies returns to more normal levels.

However, he noted the threat of drought conditions lingers in southern Alberta, which could be influenced by the "epic heat" expected to grip areas just south of the border.

"We'll have to watch exactly where that big heat dome sets up," he said.

"This does set the stage for thunderstorms ... We can get big hail, big wind in the Prairies and we think this summer actually has a pretty good chance of having a few more of those big storms than usual."

[woodland]

She’s dry here. But the alfalfa is finally coming to life after some warmth.

A couple hundred yearlings get to keep my wife’s old 4-H cow company this summer. Hopefully she can keep them mellow and inside the fences.


Sometimes it seems when things keep happening you just gotta laugh. At least the uphill side broke so it didn’t roll over. We rolled a bourgault once and had it going again in 5 hours but I don’t think this Morris would survive nearly as good. A great machine shop in town was able to spit out a couple replacement spindles before lunch whereas it was a couple day wait from the dealer. Still plugging away here although the stress is less after accepting that all the crazy things happening this year will probably make us finish last in the area.

Fun times in the neighbourhood 🍀