Houses selling like crazy in SE Regina. For Sale Day 1, Sold sign 2 days later. Hmmm, doesn’t look too deflationary to me.
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DEFLATION: Comin-in strong
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Originally posted by errolanderson View PostHow fast can prices drop? Retailers now caught with unwanted inventory discounting prices. Many asset classes now hit by a wave of deflationary pressures. Consumers are simply tapped out.
Once oil prices cave, inflation may be a distant memory. More rate hikes? Central bankers may have to give their collective heads-a-shake. Pause rate hikes? Even rate cuts in 2023? Failure of Keynes in full sight . . . .
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DEF fluid has gone from $11/jug
To anywhere from $17-$28/jug
Think that would be inflation ?
Just another carbon tax I guesd
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Originally posted by Austrian Economics View PostAs interest rates fall, asset prices will rise. As they fell close to zero in the last few years, asset prices predictably skyrocketed.
Now the reverse is occurring. I don't think it will last a year, but in the meantime, asset prices will fall.
The problem with falling asset prices is that you can find yourself insolvent in short order.
Assets < liabilities.
It doesn't matter that you may still be able to service the debt. Even if lenders are OK with that, they will be reluctant to loan you any more.
Not everyone is going to be able to simply renegotiate their loans. If the answer was that simple, why didn't millions of homeowners in the U.S. do just that in 2008?
Even if they could, the effect on the economy would be disastrous. When a creditor makes a loan for 10 years, it's because they have plans for that money 10 years down the road. They put into place investments that rely on that timely repayment in order to proceed. If everyone decided that they would not pay up for 20 years, then all those investment plans get postponed or cancelled. That's a guaranteed way to ensure a recession or depression.
Quantitative easing =Trillions of $$$ that were not real assets. If that currency ever did get repaid... it has no owner or value... they lower the Quantitative balance sheet... the currency goes nowhere and has no value to anyone... puff... dust in the wind. Interesting times... Japan central bank didn't raise interest rates...their currency is devaluing... but they use quantitative easing to defend their currency.
2.4% inflation [April and May] inflation in Japan..."'Different from the US': why Japan does not worry about inflationhttps://www.ft.com › ... › Economy › Japanese economy
May 20, 2022 — After decades of stagnation, workers no longer demand higher wages and companies do not pass on price rises."
The high US$ higher interest rates...will cause deflation... and recession... then what?
Confusion to say the least!!!
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Loaded the truck with $26 canola. Hard to sell what is left for $19. Yes deflation is real. Nobody needs to buy commodities as an inflation hedge when there is no inflation. Best investment available right now: 4.75% GIC. www.eqbank.ca We have to keep in mind that central banks exist for the suppression of interest rates below market values. Therefore they never raise rates, they just suppress less which causes them to rise towards the free market level. With excess debt that is out there right now, free market rates would be 8 -10%.
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Hi-ways full of campers, airports jammed with people , all local lots for sale in two towns sold signs on them within a few days of listing. Seems some people haven't got the memo yet. Local contractors still can't keep up.
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