I wonder how different the outcomes will be between October 1929 and now. The 30's were economically devastating to agriculture which was the dominant occupation. Widespread urban famine wasn't an issue then. Now it might be.
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There is still no sign of ‘max fear’ in investors. The VIX index has a ways-to-go. Buy-the-dippers have to be overwhelmed before there is evidence of a market bottom and final capitulation.
Realize this may sound ridiculous, but the easy money is now panicked and on-the-run. Markets are highly emotional, a pure reflection of human emotion . . . .Last edited by errolanderson; Sep 27, 2022, 21:05.
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Originally posted by errolanderson View PostThere is still no sign of ‘max fear’ in investors. The VIX index has a ways-to-go. Buy-the-dippers have to be overwhelmed before there is evidence of a market bottom and final capitulation.
Realize this may sound ridiculous, but the easy money is now panicked and on-the-run. Markets are highly emotional, a pure reflection of human emotion . . . .
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The Bank of England just pivoted overnight., After a few rate increases, their currency broke, so they are now back to buying bonds.
Same thing will happen here in a few months. A super indebted west who has sent its productive capacity abroad to chase the fiat dream is ripe for a sovereign debt crisis. We will be living with high inflation for a while.
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Originally posted by jazz View PostThe Bank of England just pivoted overnight., After a few rate increases, their currency broke, so they are now back to buying bonds.
Same thing will happen here in a few months. A super indebted west who has sent its productive capacity abroad to chase the fiat dream is ripe for a sovereign debt crisis. We will be living with high inflation for a while.
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Originally posted by jazz View PostThe Bank of England just pivoted overnight., After a few rate increases, their currency broke, so they are now back to buying bonds.
Same thing will happen here in a few months. A super indebted west who has sent its productive capacity abroad to chase the fiat dream is ripe for a sovereign debt crisis. We will be living with high inflation for a while.
Some now predicting 22% inflation in the works for Britain if more QE.
It's a tangled web for sure.
Sometimes you think you are looking ahead but soon realize it already happened.
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Originally posted by shtferbrains View PostOne report that things were breaking so fast the pension funds can't make the margin calls so BOE came in with support.
Some now predicting 22% inflation in the works for Britain if more QE.
It's a tangled web for sure.
Sometimes you think you are looking ahead but soon realize it already happened.
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This is the jest of Janet Yellen's comments this week; Financial markets are functioning normally. The U.S. will likely dodge a recession. Inflation is too high, ie; rates will continue to climb. Basically, nothing to see here.
Guess we can all relax now . . . .
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