What would you do?

[foragefarmer]

Penciling out returns before it's in the bin can lead to some very tough financial consequence.

Greed and fear will get you every time!

Slow and steady wins the race!

[TASFarms]

$20 canola @ 50
$30 lentils @ 30
$30 chickpeas @ 30
$14 durum @ 50

Math is quite simple actually.

Lentils under 13 bushel/acre
Durum under 35 bushels/acre. Equals a blood bath.

[BTO780]

Makes no sense, I can’t see how you would make any money.

$20 canola @ 50
$30 lentils @ 30
$30 chickpeas @ 30
$14 durum @ 50

Math is quite simple actually.

[jazz]

Makes no sense, I can’t see how you would make any money.

A bunch of land moved here for $750-800k per Q. Work out what the financing is on that with todays rates and maybe 10% down payment.

Much more than $200 per acre.

[Taiga]

Makes no sense, I can’t see how you would make any money.

[bucket]

history has proven, in my experience watching from the sidelines, the best farm operators are the ones that pay the most, and then get the best write downs in the backrooms of the lender.

Why , you may ask. Because the lender that borrowed the money will look bad if they don'r recoup something.

If grain prices drop well below current levels , none of the equipment or land let alone inputs , will make sense. Even on well equity farms.
I remember being told pea prices won't drop below 6 bucks and by harvest they were 4.75 a bushel.
And typically, grain prices drop far sooner than anything else.

79 was just like this
Lost a lotta neighbours in the 80’s
Peering over the edge of the cliff right now
These greedy fellas that get top dollar , then not get paid down the road will be pleading with the “lifers” to farm it for taxes if history repeats
It normally does ?

[jazz]

This cant be real can it. I mean top rents were just at $120 here a couple yrs ago. Now $200.

Somebody making a big bet commodities are going to surge.

[Sheepwheat]

Two years and the last land I bought would be paid in full. Meaning I bought some for 400 an acre. Pretty simple decision here. Don’t let someone’s insanity cloud your vision.

[BTO780]

https://mobile.twitter.com/zeefarmer/status/1601638711959355394