Rally Hats

[furrowtickler]

We also had a short crop in 21. Sold 90% of 22.

That’s the great thing about open markets

[TOM4CWB]

Todays Drought Monitor



Precipitation forecast:



Will be interesting to see what happens…

Blessings and Prayers

[furrowtickler]

That’s 1/2 in rain or less in the driest area with very hot temps coming in this same area ….


Market will try to overstate the “benefit” of that system.

[fcr]

Old crop cwrs back to $11 , had four terminals call this morning looking .They are also looking to lock in new crop canola and wheat.

[flea beetle]

Old crop cwrs back to $11 , had four terminals call this morning looking .They are also looking to lock in new crop canola and wheat.

They don’t want wheat bad enough yet. Have targets about $1 above market for old crop, and they aren’t stretching for them yet.

[jazz]

Old crop cwrs back to $11 , had four terminals call this morning looking .They are also looking to lock in new crop canola and wheat.

That tells you all you need to know about the coming crop.

[furrowtickler]

Soil is bone dry from southern Manitoba a long ways south
1/2 rain does literally nothing when that dry in the soil

[shtferbrains]

Grains board all up on the open.
Oats leaving the $4 barrier behind.

Are there going to be any good oat crops in Manitoba?

Will need regular showers here to make average.

[tubs]

Grains board all up on the open.
Oats leaving the $4 barrier behind.

Are there going to be any good oat crops in Manitoba?

Will need regular showers here to make average.

Well below average here maybe 50 percent crop

[Old Cowzilla]

Yep half an oat crop on our farm sowed too early.

[WiltonRanch]

Some alright looking crops around the country at 65mph from the highway. Earlier seeded stuff has several stages of growth which makes the big yields and quality hard to hit. The North American crop is in trouble for both yield and quality. The only consistent stand I have is oats on grass breaking and hay. Wish I planted more oats.

[shtferbrains]

Might see a push for heavy old crop oats?

[crusher]

The more I check my crops, the more the realization sets in that this is going to be a stinker. Wheat headed out below the knee, plus I don't see any tillers that are going to make anything. Huge blank spots in the canola fields, and no I'm not going to post any pictures because it's that bad.

Just my opinion, but the futures seem more global (and unpredictable) with the basis local. Strong Canadian dollar isn't helping basis but I think there will be a pretty small crop in Alberta, and the locals are going to have to bid up to buy product. I also believe farmers are more optimistic on their crops than they should be. If you caught a rain at the end of May and got a couple inches 10 days ago, then maybe you'll have a chance. I've got 2 out of 25 fields like that. Maybe it's just backyarditis and I'm off the mark. My biggest mistake so far this year was putting that last $10 into NH3 instead of crop insurance.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

Where are you at Crusher? Edmonton area, or do I have you confused with another poster?
Your analysis echoes what I've seen in my travels.

[furrowtickler]

Where are you at Crusher? Edmonton area, or do I have you confused with another poster?
Your analysis echoes what I've seen in my travels.

Unfortunately, he could be speaking for 70% of western Canada right now , sad fact