My New Years Resolution

[wmoebis]

I guess we have a false sense of security believing we have a watch dog. Even though, as I heard it put, a watch dog with no teeth. I wonder how the American or Ausi systems works and how they protect themselves, ours isn't working.

[charliep]

JD4ME

You are right about these topic areas moving all over the place. Maybe one of the things I like about participating here.

Higher canola prices will be a tough slug short term. Too many US soybeans. South America is also looking good recognizing they are in the middle of their growing season. The loonie is the other wild card. My bias is higher eventually but have been wrong many times here.

I think the discussion around licenceing and bonding or other tools to ensure buyer payment integrity is worthwhile. I would also include Ontario's approach which from my understanding is more of an insurance program. Hopefully we can get a thread going on this.

[AdamSmith]

Charlie, the one thing that I have liked about Agri-ville, and right from the very beginning is that Agri-ville and in particularly the Commodity Marketing meeting room, is that it has been a wonderful place for people to share their thoughts, frustrations and passions. Some are avid participants while some like myself join in less often while I’m sure many others simply like to read the postings. No disrespect intended but I’ve never considered Agri-ville to be a market advisory service. Sure I’ve read some suggestions that we’re good suggestions but Agri-ville’s real appeal is that it acts as a wonderful sounding board for all those who wish to say something.

So I must speak up and suggest to those who complain about the constant CWB bashing that in their own little way they are opposing free speech . If I grow wheat or barley on the prairies I automatically must accept the CWB as my business partner. That’s the law. A gruesome and flawed law in my opinion, but a law none the less. Complaining and sometimes bitterly complaining about it is the only thing that separates a Canadian farmer from a Ugandan farmer.

So Charlie, I urge you and others who value Agri-ville not to be intimidated whether by words or by other means to continue to allow and encourage Agri-ville to be used as this valuable sounding board.

And for those that don’t like the complaining, help free those who would choose to be free and you will never hear us utter an unkind word about the CWB again.

[grassfarmer]

Cowman,
Doesn't "If it wasn't for Cargill/IBP putting some money in the feeder market the last couple of years, what kind of fall runs would we have had?" contradict your later statement
"So many cattlemen think they are getting a raw deal on their calves and right now I agree ...."?
It's obvious that any bottom they may have put in the calf trade was only a tiny fraction of what they could have spent given their market manipulation on the other end.I for one condemn the packers absolutely for being immoral, corrupt and unethical - like rpkaiser I will never forget this episode and will do my best to run these transnational corporations out of business and aim never to sell to them.
Perhaps now you have finally sold your cows you should change your handle from cowman - to maybe pacman or packerman ;o)

[cakadu]

What makes it work, cowman? Is it the fact that it is the devil everyone knows, which by default makes it work? Who does it serve best - certainly not the producer.

That article that InaHurry posted in the US imports thread (I believe it was) speaks volumes as to what the picture really is. What needs to be done now is to change that picture because it isn't such a pretty one anymore. If we go back to the way we did things, then we have learned absolutely nothing over the last 20 months and we leave ourselves wide open and vulnerable once again.

Grassfarmer, it seems to me that I read somewhere that the packers can have 8% of the kill be their own. There wasn't any mention of anything that they could have in feedlots being fed. Would there be any viable way to enforce something like that?

Cowman, I'm sure businesses have acted the way that they have since business began. Maybe now it is just far more visible than what it was in the past.

[BFW]

Cakadu, your assessment of feedlot margins being razor thin is accurate but a little more information is required. There are more or less 2 types of feedlots, one being a custom feedlot who feed cattle for other people or entities and feedlots who own the cattle themselves or feed "for their own account." The statement that feedlots try and make a margin of about $25.00/hd on a net basis is fairly accurate in my experience. Custom feedlots will charge their customers a rate over and above the cost of inputs such as feed, bedding and medicine which will cover their cost of operating the feedlot (wages, utilities,fuel, pen cleaning, repairs, depreciation etc) on a daily basis. This fee generally ranges from about 35-60 cents per head per day and varies by cattle type, geographical area and simply on an individual basis. For the custom feedlot the margin calculation is simple. Charge enough to ensure you cover those variable and fixed costs plus enough to return you the level of profit you desire. So the question of raising margins for the custom feedlot is quite simple raise the price that you charge your customer over and above the cost of the basic inputs to what the market will bear or increase efficiencies within the operation to drive down operating costs. On the other hand you have the feedlots feeding for their own accounts. They have the same costs more or less of operating their businesses as the custom feeder but have assumed the the risk of ownership of the cattle. You will find that these are probably the most efficiently run feedlots in the industry as they are not able to pass along their costs to a feeding customer. I believe that this is the crux of your question, how does this type of operation increase its margins? As I mentioned most of these types of feedlots already operate at optimal efficiencies so they look to improve their margins on the buying and selling of cattle. Obviously buying inputs such as feeder cattle and grain as prudently as possible and selling the finished animals at a level that at least covers all costs is the name of the game. Many of these operations have tried to use economies of scale to become more efficient. Certainly a minimum size is necessary to justify the required investment in facilities and equipment to feed cattle on a commercial basis but as many people have alluded to here bigger is not always better as at times bigger actually works against you (especially when you are losing). So in short the only way some one feeding for their own account can increase their margin is to buy cheaper, sell higher, be more nimble, I could go on and on. This was difficult prior to BSE and the current environment has only magnified the problems. Hope this helps. I have more but my fingers are getting sore.

[freenorth]

God grant me the serenity to except the things I cannot change, the
courage to change the things I can and the wisdom to know the difference.

The thing with the CWB is we have the perceived potential to change it so those who want change are frustrated that it isn't yet happening. Making the CWB voluntary would be a positive occurrence and those that grumble about it are not content that this positive occurrence is not yet happening
for the benefit of Western Canada.

There will always be people on both sides of this issue who are frustrated. Ignoring a problem doesn't make it go away.

"The longer change is delayed the greater the size of the change will be"

[TOM4CWB]

Freenorth;

One of the most ironic statements the CWB has made, is this Goal they are supposed to acheive:

"To have legal authority to operate within our existing CWB mandate in international trade agreements and recognition internationally that we operate on a fully commercial basis"


I am in awe that they are actually saying this:

"recognition internationally that we operate on a fully commercial basis"

THink about this for a second, how could they possibly ever acheive this goal, but to remove the control of well over half of "designated area" acres from farmers who need market choice to discipline the CWB and make them better...

But the "single desk" is the only way the CWB claims

SO

Either the CWB must put us all out of business;

or,

Make them so angry we would never grow wheat or barley again!

I guess there is one other way the CWB could attempt to acheive this goal;

Try to Deceive the International Community with FRAUD.

Now which is it?

JD4ME, I just need the CWB to do a reality check... and get honest for just one second.

Could you help... or what exactly am I missing here?

I am going to work on Snowbird Hard White Wheat... can this be a positive... can we get the IP premium up to $15/t by August 1st 2005?

Would this be a positive move JD4ME?

[ALICIA]

If you have more packers competing to buy your cattle, would this not raise the highest bid up a notch.
I for one would rather have 6 guys wanting to bid on my cattle then 2.

Who ever bids the highest gets to own the cattle, and I would guess that means Cargell and IBP.

Talk about calling the kettle blue.
You cow calf guys are talking about backgrounding your calf to slaughter, so what is wrong with the big packers buying the kind of calfs they want and putting them on feed.
The only difference I see is the cow calf guy owns his calfs and the Packers has to buy his calfs from soom one like me, who doesn't what to back ground the calfs to slaughter.

[wd40]

Alicia - Philisophically speaking (thats way too big a word)

What was ment at the start is that feedlot opporators look for (lets say a $30 margin). They don't care wehter they pay you $1.40 for your calves or $0.65. It all depends on what grain is worth and what they can get out of their fats.

When they make, say a $60 margin they spend it on you're calves raising the price of them.

Therefore all they want is a environment where there is more packer capacity than cattle.

They don't care about who owns that capacity. Dosn't matter if it's a multi-national taking $100's Mill out of CDN.