WINNIPEG FREE PRESS
DATE: 2006.12.27
Let farmers decide: survey
Manitobans split on ending wheat board's monopoly
Manitobans are evenly split on whether they support the federal government's goal of ending the Canadian Wheat Board's monopoly, but the vast majority of residents say farmers should ultimately decide the matter.
A Winnipeg Free Press/Jory Capital Inc. poll found that nearly two-thirds (64 per cent) of Manitobans said they were aware of the ongoing wheat board debate.
Meanwhile, 11,000 ballots have gone out to farmers across the province as part of a political dispute between Gary Doer's NDP government and the federal Conservatives over the fate of the wheat board.
The ballots, which are due back Jan. 5, won't carry any legal weight but the provincial government hopes they will send a strong message to Ottawa.
Chuck Fossay, a Starbuck-area farmer, said the decision where to mark his "X" was an easy one. He said he supports the CWB and described Ottawa's handling of the whole affair as "heavy-handed." "The wheat board has made a lot of improvements over the last five or six years since we went to an elected board of directors representing farmers," he said in an interview.
Among those who were aware of the issue, 44 per cent said they were opposed to ending the wheat board single desk -- including 28 per cent who were strongly opposed, 32 per cent supported it and 24 per cent were undecided, according to the poll, which was conducted by Probe Research Inc.
Winnipeggers tended to be more supportive of the wheat board single desk than non-Winnipeggers, the survey showed.
Patrick Cooney, chairman and CEO of Jory Capital, said that result stood out.
"That's got to be directly related to Winnipeggers worrying about losing those jobs, which I think is a legitimate concern," Cooney said, referring to the fact the wheat board's head office is located in the city.
In Winnipeg, 38 per cent opposed Ottawa's policy to end the single desk (23 per cent strongly), while 35 per cent supported it (14 per cent
strongly) and 27 per cent were undecided.
In the rest of the province, 29 per cent opposed Ottawa's position (17 per cent strongly), while 31 per cent supported it (16 per cent strongly).
Scott MacKay, president of Probe Research, said the one thing Manitobans were sure of was that farmers should get the final say on what happens to the wheat board's sales monopoly.
"People from all walks of life, and it doesn't matter whether you're rural or urban, or young or old or NDP or PC -- everyone seems to agree that this is for the farmers to decide. So that part is clear," he said.
Seventy-seven per cent of Manitobans surveyed said the final decision should be made by farmers, while only six per cent said government should have the final say.
Fossay said the federal government seems unwilling to listen to producers in favour of the single-desk marketing system. He's not giving up hope, however. He said a federal plebiscite on barley marketing early in the new year will send yet another indication of farmers' approval with the single-desk system to Ottawa.
"There's always the possibility of a federal election in the new year, too. (Federal Liberal leader) Stephane Dion said he supports the single-desk system, he's willing to let farmers decide and let the democratically elected directors decide how the wheat board will proceed in the future," he said.
MacKay said he was surprised by the high level of undecided respondents who live outside the city.
In Winnipeg, 27 per cent said they were unsure of where they stood on the wheat board's monopoly, while outside of Winnipeg the number soared to 40 per cent.
"You'd think that if you're in a rural place where this debate has been playing out for years... you'd have entrenched views on this," he said.
"But that does not really seem to be the case; in fact it seems to be the opposite." He noted, however, that grain farmers would have made up only a small percentage of the people surveyed outside of Winnipeg.
Overall, 34 per cent of Manitobans surveyed supported the government's wheat board policy, while 34 per cent opposed it and 32 per cent were unsure. Within those totals, 20 per cent of respondents strongly opposed the government's position while 15 per cent strongly endorsed it.
MacKay said single-desk advocates could take some comfort in the fact there was more support for their position among Manitobans who are aware of the issue.
The survey of 1,000 Manitobans was conducted by telephone between Nov. 27 and Dec. 5. It's considered to be accurate within plus or minus 3.1 percentage points 95 per cent of the time.
The reasoning behind the responses Most common reasons for supporting abolition of the single desk: z 30 per cent said change would be better for farmers z 21 per cent said farmers would get better prices without it z 17 per cent said having competition would be better than a wheat board monopoly z 14 per cent said it would enhance personal freedom Most common reasons for opposing abolition of the single desk: z 28 per cent said single-desk system works well as it is 17 per cent said farmers would receive lower prices if it were abolished 12 per cent said farmers are not in the business of selling wheat 10 per cent said farmers support the current arrangement Those most likely to support abolition of the single-desk marketing system: Men (39 per cent versus 28 per cent among women).
Supporters of the provincial PCs (48 per cent versus 31 per cent among provincial Liberal supporters and 25 per cent among provincial NDP
supporters) Those most likely to oppose abolition of the wheat board
monopoly: Winnipeg residents (38 per cent versus 29 per cent among those living outside the city).
Those who expressed an awareness of the proposed changes (44 per cent versus 17 per cent who expressed little or no awareness).
Supporters of the provincial NDP (53 per cent versus 31 per cent among Liberal supporters and 25 per cent among Conservative supporters).
Source: Probe Research Inc.
DATE: 2006.12.27
Let farmers decide: survey
Manitobans split on ending wheat board's monopoly
Manitobans are evenly split on whether they support the federal government's goal of ending the Canadian Wheat Board's monopoly, but the vast majority of residents say farmers should ultimately decide the matter.
A Winnipeg Free Press/Jory Capital Inc. poll found that nearly two-thirds (64 per cent) of Manitobans said they were aware of the ongoing wheat board debate.
Meanwhile, 11,000 ballots have gone out to farmers across the province as part of a political dispute between Gary Doer's NDP government and the federal Conservatives over the fate of the wheat board.
The ballots, which are due back Jan. 5, won't carry any legal weight but the provincial government hopes they will send a strong message to Ottawa.
Chuck Fossay, a Starbuck-area farmer, said the decision where to mark his "X" was an easy one. He said he supports the CWB and described Ottawa's handling of the whole affair as "heavy-handed." "The wheat board has made a lot of improvements over the last five or six years since we went to an elected board of directors representing farmers," he said in an interview.
Among those who were aware of the issue, 44 per cent said they were opposed to ending the wheat board single desk -- including 28 per cent who were strongly opposed, 32 per cent supported it and 24 per cent were undecided, according to the poll, which was conducted by Probe Research Inc.
Winnipeggers tended to be more supportive of the wheat board single desk than non-Winnipeggers, the survey showed.
Patrick Cooney, chairman and CEO of Jory Capital, said that result stood out.
"That's got to be directly related to Winnipeggers worrying about losing those jobs, which I think is a legitimate concern," Cooney said, referring to the fact the wheat board's head office is located in the city.
In Winnipeg, 38 per cent opposed Ottawa's policy to end the single desk (23 per cent strongly), while 35 per cent supported it (14 per cent
strongly) and 27 per cent were undecided.
In the rest of the province, 29 per cent opposed Ottawa's position (17 per cent strongly), while 31 per cent supported it (16 per cent strongly).
Scott MacKay, president of Probe Research, said the one thing Manitobans were sure of was that farmers should get the final say on what happens to the wheat board's sales monopoly.
"People from all walks of life, and it doesn't matter whether you're rural or urban, or young or old or NDP or PC -- everyone seems to agree that this is for the farmers to decide. So that part is clear," he said.
Seventy-seven per cent of Manitobans surveyed said the final decision should be made by farmers, while only six per cent said government should have the final say.
Fossay said the federal government seems unwilling to listen to producers in favour of the single-desk marketing system. He's not giving up hope, however. He said a federal plebiscite on barley marketing early in the new year will send yet another indication of farmers' approval with the single-desk system to Ottawa.
"There's always the possibility of a federal election in the new year, too. (Federal Liberal leader) Stephane Dion said he supports the single-desk system, he's willing to let farmers decide and let the democratically elected directors decide how the wheat board will proceed in the future," he said.
MacKay said he was surprised by the high level of undecided respondents who live outside the city.
In Winnipeg, 27 per cent said they were unsure of where they stood on the wheat board's monopoly, while outside of Winnipeg the number soared to 40 per cent.
"You'd think that if you're in a rural place where this debate has been playing out for years... you'd have entrenched views on this," he said.
"But that does not really seem to be the case; in fact it seems to be the opposite." He noted, however, that grain farmers would have made up only a small percentage of the people surveyed outside of Winnipeg.
Overall, 34 per cent of Manitobans surveyed supported the government's wheat board policy, while 34 per cent opposed it and 32 per cent were unsure. Within those totals, 20 per cent of respondents strongly opposed the government's position while 15 per cent strongly endorsed it.
MacKay said single-desk advocates could take some comfort in the fact there was more support for their position among Manitobans who are aware of the issue.
The survey of 1,000 Manitobans was conducted by telephone between Nov. 27 and Dec. 5. It's considered to be accurate within plus or minus 3.1 percentage points 95 per cent of the time.
The reasoning behind the responses Most common reasons for supporting abolition of the single desk: z 30 per cent said change would be better for farmers z 21 per cent said farmers would get better prices without it z 17 per cent said having competition would be better than a wheat board monopoly z 14 per cent said it would enhance personal freedom Most common reasons for opposing abolition of the single desk: z 28 per cent said single-desk system works well as it is 17 per cent said farmers would receive lower prices if it were abolished 12 per cent said farmers are not in the business of selling wheat 10 per cent said farmers support the current arrangement Those most likely to support abolition of the single-desk marketing system: Men (39 per cent versus 28 per cent among women).
Supporters of the provincial PCs (48 per cent versus 31 per cent among provincial Liberal supporters and 25 per cent among provincial NDP
supporters) Those most likely to oppose abolition of the wheat board
monopoly: Winnipeg residents (38 per cent versus 29 per cent among those living outside the city).
Those who expressed an awareness of the proposed changes (44 per cent versus 17 per cent who expressed little or no awareness).
Supporters of the provincial NDP (53 per cent versus 31 per cent among Liberal supporters and 25 per cent among Conservative supporters).
Source: Probe Research Inc.
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