On a different and perhaps more optimistic note, 2007 is shaping up to be a optimistic and profitable year for the crops sector. Over the next few weeks, you all will be doing budgets and making acreage decisions. Any early thoughts on acreage shifts in the coming year outside normal crop rotation? What is being cleaned at seed cleaning plants? Seed growers - What crops are you seeing people committing to early?
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On our farm (8000 acres for 07)we are going to cut wheat acres by 1000 acres this will be replaced with Oats (locked in price) and feed barley (Same) Canola and peas will remain the same percentage of our acres. I make on Crops outside of the CWB so I am moving more to that and only 1/3 of our acres will be CWB. Cleaning has been slow at our plant as most are still assessing their plans, Were cleaning our stocks instead.
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We are of the same thinking as SF. Very little if any CWB grains. CPSR is going to replace our hrsw. Oats/feed barley will replace the malt. Cash flow is rearing it's ugly head now with fert prices soaring from fall.
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We seeded 10% of our acres in 2006 due to wetness. Along the highway in our little pocket for 6 miles there were 3 quarters that got seeded, out of the possible 24! It stayed wet all year and is wetter now than in the spring. It is of real concern, as we have had 3 feet of snow, and our first 8 inches came October 16th to pretty much stay. (anyone hear about this in this age of global warming nonsense?)
IF we seed anything, it will be no wheat. I'm done with the board. Oats, and canola, along with the half section of winter wheat I sneaked into the mud between rains in september.
The oats will hopefully need little N, on the chem-fallow, but who knows what the soil tests might say, and the canola will go on ground that was slated for last year.
I do doubt we'll get much done though, that's how flippin' wet it is hereabouts.
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On our farm in Western MB, our RS Wht will be down to 200 ac from 1800 ac. Just enough that we can underseed some perenial ryegrass. Shifting acres to oats and canola and winter wheat for ethanol. I've had enough of this CWB, so will grow whatever so that I don't have to deal with them and grow crops that make my family money
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Our acreage will likely be up on wheat because we used the opportunity to seed a lot of winter wheat acres last fall. No sure of my mix of CPS to HRS but have some concern that if everyone jumps on the ethanol, feed band wagon we might be in trouble in that market. Trying to shop for new crop barley bids but everyone seems gunshy of the new futures contract. Canola acres will be down only because of rotation. Will likely put a few peas in just because they work well in rotation.
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