CWB and complaining

[cottonpicken]

Ive got:
canola=11.50-16.50
barley=3.50-5.50
spring wheat=7.00-11.00

Near the end of 07 or start of 08 we'll have a small pullback and then sideways trade for a significant period before our next leg up.

If were lower than these numbers i'll be surprised.If were higher i wont be.

Its our turn.

[caseman]

Where do you get the info to back these figures up??

$16 canola????? good luck!

$11 wheat come on!!!

I hope you are right but we all have
to face reality and hope for $8.50-
$9.50 canola. Wheat $5 to $6.

[nw9flynn]

I'll be realistic...
peas $5/bu, canola 8.50-9.00/bu, wheat 4.50-5.oo/bu Minn, LGL .18/lb#1, RL 14.5/lb.
these are all based on avg. yields.

[nw9flynn]

Actually CottenPicken is right I do agree with him also. I do a significant amount of trading, and not saying that those prices will happen, but no question the makings are there to break old highs set 11 years ago.

[bgmb]

Cotton
I Hope your prices come to pass however with current forward prices for next September we can lock in $60-70/acre margins @ average yields. I think it's smart to get 40% done.

[cottonpicken]

Info to back this up
things we all know:
-very tight global grain stocks
-gargantuan ethanol,bio-diesel industry firing up
-high cost of production
-systemic global weather problems
-massive growing chindia demand factor
-23 year bear market in ag
Things you might not know:
-massive foriegn currency reserves
-massive global m3 growth
-other commoditie price explosion
-major dollar depreciation factor
-war factor
-ocean protein factor
-derivatives
-oil factor
-hedge funds
-investment analysts

Snappy what are you into?Are you tracking other commodities?

[ado089]

thegrainguy

You should care about what is happening with the CWB. The fact that you don't, working for the largest grain handler in W.Canada, shows that you and your company are in a win-win sitution with this scenario. There in lies the problem, who's losing? I can take a guess...

[thegrainguy]

I new as soon as I stated that we dont care, I would get a response. It took a little longer that I expected.

Anyway, it is not that we dont care, it is that this debate has been going on for a long time.

We just wish all the talking would stop and get some actions. You are not going to sway anyones postion so the talking is just wasted breath.

[wmoebis]

thegrainguy

does your grain company feel that they can/will get more money back into the producers pocket on (board) grains than what the board is now?

If so how? Is the price out there on world markets?

When we get these kinds of real answers and comitments from grain industry only then can we all make a true commitment to issue and put it to bed.

[parsley]

If I marketed for the biggest grain handler in Canada, I would try to gag those noisemakers who try to put the brakes on the CWB. After all, the CWB is the grain handler's bread and butter, the real guaranteed profit with no risk, in spite of the fact that farmers don't make money

First, as a real take-charge kinda guy, I would demand to change the on-line climate away from the farmers' problems, to the company's goal which is to find out what present stocks are out there. For free. Lentils. Peas . Barley, all of them.

Then I would try to get every seeding intention from every farmer I could. For free.

Then I would try to determine what those farmers are NEEDING to break even. For free.

Then I would try to determine what those farmers are WANTING for a price. For Free.

When I had calculated the offerings, figures, and guesstimates, I would submit my trend sheet to head office and hope for a raise.

If I was head office, and I had hired a guy who posted that:

1. farmers are complainers
2. a farmer website is not to be used for what farmers want to talk about,
3. the largest grain handler in the DA doesn't give a rats $3%$ about what farmers think,

....I'd be ticked.

I would hope to hell, my company 's name didn't pop up on screen, when somebody looks up stats on who handles the most grain in Western Canada.

Parsley

[parsley]

To the "grainguy" this website demonstrates the very reason why the CWB has to be voluntary.Two people the same generation,same region(western canada),same job(grain farmer),same religion(my relatives),couldn't be divided on any issue more than the CWB monopoly.This issue won't die until evryone is entitled to their own opinion and rights whether your for or against.So if you don't like the debate you probably should't log on until it's finally over.

[parsley]

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia:

"Agricore United"

#1 QUOTE "Agricore United is the largest grain handler and crop input retailer in western Canada.."

Well, I'll be darned!

#2 QUOTE "About 2,800 employees including: 269 Customer Service Representatives 160 Certified Crop Advisors (CCA) 24 Merchants (Grains, Oilseeds, Beans and Special Crops)"

thegrainguy wouldn't be one of these, would he?

Hmmm.

#3 QUOTE "9.9 million tonnes of grain shipped in 2005"

Agri-core goes ca-ching-ca-ching with every bushel going through. Why would they want any of you rebel farmers planning on bypassing their ca-ching ca-ching?

Accredited agencies can legally ca-ching domestically-CAPTIVE farmers.

#4 QUOTE "982 thousand tonnes of manufactured feed sold in 2005"

Manufactured feed......yes, now there's a dandy ca-ching setup.

Agricore can buy feed wheat and barley direct from the farmer and bypasss CWB marketing and pooling. Domestically-captive DA farmers selling feed grain to a Multi who is able to export the feed and access world price results in Ca-ching.

Agri-core needs to estimate what is presently in the bins, what will be seeded, and at what price to set the "290 crop protection products available"

ca-ching ca-ching.

"This forum is for grain marketing not CWB bitching."

I'm talking about marketing here.

Parsley

[TOM4CWB]

Caseman,

Funny, I was just offered $9.73/bu for my Canola Spring of 08 delivery.

Strange I didn't sell a bu.

Why?

If they are offering this just after the market collapsed for the past week... in the Jan doldrums...

What might the price be in late March when they must bid for acres?

What happens IF there is a drought in western Canada this summer... How high will prices go then?

Risk Management is what this is truly all aboout... if we are inteligent grain growers and marketers.

Are we?

[TOM4CWB]

Cotten, I currently have Beans, Corn, Soyaoil, and Wheat on the go.

[parsley]

thegrainguy,

Does your statement also represent Agri-cor's position?

"We just wish all the talking would stop and get some actions. You are not going to sway anyones postion so the talking is just wasted breath."

Are you saying farmers would be wasting breath dialoguing with AU?

Ten years ago, CWB-dissident farmers were rare birds, whereas in 2006, most farmers now view the CWB with much more pragmatic eyes, and an overwhelming number of those farmers do not want the CWB as their marketing partner AT ALL!

Farmer opinion has reversed, and will continue to reverse, because farmers talk to each other, to governments,& to elites,and agri-business.

Should AU revisit the policy you now promote?

Parsley