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WTF Wheat taking a fall!

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    #21
    I guess the “sanctions” were / are useless .
    In fact detrimental as Russia found ways around sanctions and now flooding markets with cheap grains and oilseeds .
    A lot of told ya so’s showing up now but absolutely no one anywhere predicted this commodity collapse 4 months ago , other the Errol I guess

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      #22
      Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
      I guess the “sanctions” were / are useless .
      In fact detrimental as Russia found ways around sanctions and now flooding markets with cheap grains and oilseeds .
      A lot of told ya so’s showing up now but absolutely no one anywhere predicted this commodity collapse 4 months ago , other the Errol I guess
      Some have been bearish for the past year and half.

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        #23
        Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
        I guess the “sanctions” were / are useless...
        It sounds like you are under the mistaken impression sanctions on Russia applied to food.

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          #24
          Originally posted by ColevilleH2S View Post

          It sounds like you are under the mistaken impression sanctions on Russia applied to food.
          Yup guess so .

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            #25
            Not to food maybe, but sanctions HURT their Ruble, now other countries buy Russian grain at a discount, due to exchange, wrecking out prices....Our own fault.

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              #26
              Originally posted by Old Cowzilla View Post
              All we need now is mother nature to throw a curve ball and we will have the makings of the 80's. You guys remember the good old days don't you
              Many of us have had those years recently.

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                #27
                Originally posted by LEP View Post

                Many of us have had those years recently.
                Here it's been an exercise in going through the motions since '21. South and east it's been one garbage crop after another since '19. Crop insurance with built up averages and respectable commodity prices have at least kept people in the game.

                I suspect new crop insurance numbers are going to be dismal.

                Even at 80% $'s/ac coverage will likely come in somewhere around:
                cwrs @ 22bu area average and $8 = $140
                Cwad @ 22bu and $9.50 = $167
                Peas @ 33bu and $9.50 = $272
                Canola @ 18bu and $12 = $173

                That's between $40 and $75 per acre less than last year

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                  #28
                  Originally posted by LEP View Post

                  Many of us have had those years recently.
                  I could have survived the early 80s with a lot less pain without 24% interest. If that happens again western Canada will not look the same.

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                    #29
                    Originally posted by ColevilleH2S View Post

                    It sounds like you are under the mistaken impression sanctions on Russia applied to food.
                    Food was exempted. But the theory was that shipping and currency would be the problem. They haven't been so far.
                    The pundits also thought Russia would destroy Ukraine's agricultural infrastructure. They didn't
                    The theory I've read recently, is that Russia desperately needed China onside, to keep their economy functioning, and to provide war material.
                    And China's condition for support was, keep the food flowing from Ukraine to keep prices from blowing up.
                    Last edited by AlbertaFarmer5; Feb 16, 2024, 23:13.

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                      #30
                      Originally posted by helmsdale View Post

                      Here it's been an exercise in going through the motions since '21. South and east it's been one garbage crop after another since '19. Crop insurance with built up averages and respectable commodity prices have at least kept people in the game.

                      I suspect new crop insurance numbers are going to be dismal.

                      Even at 80% $'s/ac coverage will likely come in somewhere around:
                      cwrs @ 22bu area average and $8 = $140
                      Cwad @ 22bu and $9.50 = $167
                      Peas @ 33bu and $9.50 = $272
                      Canola @ 18bu and $12 = $173

                      That's between $40 and $75 per acre less than last year
                      Very few have a clue on the real numbers
                      thank you for posting
                      there are many that think we all are guaranteed $1000/ac in this ag industry and it’s not even remotely close for 80% of us

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