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Crop estimate.

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    #11
    The normal brown areas will be on average, brown. Same with the black.
    I didn't think there was enough good to make an average crop if my usual black area is this year, brown.
    Pre selling safe enough if you insure the sale. Otherwise you're speculating.

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      #12
      Originally posted by bucket View Post

      Weather stays like this for another week and it will be down 60%. The problem is after 5 leaf yield can't go up. It can only maintain its potential with perfect weather.

      We haven't had perfect weather for the last month , add in grasshoppers.

      Growing a beautiful leafy crop is great, but at the end of the day it's the head that matters. And those heads are not getting bigger. Good chance many won't fill to 30% of its potential.

      This is the reality check many can't fathom, and I have no sympathy for people signing contracts early thinking this will be a bin buster. Didn't the last time when farm groups were crying the blues because directors got caught short.

      We started out with a subsoil moisture deficit in feet not inches and guys thought a 3inch rain was going to solve the problem??????

      Now we have a root system barely past where that rain soaked into and nothing below to use .

      How did guys think this was going to turn out.
      I agree , no doubt
      we are in a very small extremely lucky area, and still hitting a wall now

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        #13
        It doesn’t matter what we all say on here or anywhere, the crooks and thieves will have the final say …. they always have and always will.

        Bumper my azz!!!!

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          #14
          They have NDVI tech and all infored tech
          they know this crop is deteriorating daily . Crop prices slowly reflecting now

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            #15
            Local terminal needed 10000 t cwrs for a train first week of august.8.40 bu.,filled it in one day. Next train 6.80 bu.Sounds like still lots of old crop that will be carried over to a much,much lower price.Crush plant bought enough to cover them till october as they believe canola harvest will be late.

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              #16
              They can have all the best technology they want. Not sure how the silver, white canola fields look from high above. The durum is starting to look as white as snow on the ground.

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                #17
                We have had 100 degree heat for the last 4 days here. Crops are hurting bad. Supposed to be wind of 70 km today . That should be great for the crop.

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                  #18
                  Originally posted by BTO780 View Post
                  They can have all the best technology they want. Not sure how the silver, white canola fields look from high above. The durum is starting to look as white as snow on the ground.
                  It shows up big time , they know severe damage being done in huge areas .
                  Yield prospects are plummeting

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                    #19
                    Does smoke interfere with ndvi imagery? It sureee seemed to have messed with the weather forecast. The last 2 day rain forecast wasnt even closeeeeeeeee to what they predicted. 100% ... 1 to 1.5 inches.
                    got less than 1/2.

                    for about 6 hrs it said it was raining where i was but it was just smoke and sunshine......

                    Weird.

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                      #20
                      Count your blessings you got any rain whatsover.

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