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Crop estimate.

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    #25
    Sounds like winds blew most of the rain away in nw sask. My weather station on the fritz so can’t remote view my rain amounts from where I’m at.

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      #27
      Good thing my nutrien guy talked me into using radiant.

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        #28
        Gosh I hate making predictions on what my own crop will do let alone some blob in an office looking at satellite maps. Problem is I make a prediction and am wrong I look like a fool and could jeopardize my farm but no recourse for the butheads in the farm media or the trade. On the road to Idaho for a well deserved trip and Montana looks alright for this time of year but I haven’t got out and checked elevators or talked to farmers so I have no bloody clue. I’m about as clueless as the Townsends of the world or the guys at glacier media.

        The black soil zone which I farm in can grow a decent crop most years. This year there is lots of canola in and some looks alright but more looks late and horrible. Some guy sitting in a newsroom in Regina or the trading room in Winnipeg is so far removed they have no idea except for maps and ground truthers. They can’t keep perpetuating their bs forever.

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          #29
          I've never understood how the Burnett's got paid.
          I can only assume their is better info out there owned by those who keep it to themselves.
          ​​​​​​

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            #30
            Originally posted by WiltonRanch View Post
            They can’t keep perpetuating their bs forever.
            ahh but they can, and they will, and it will only get worse I'm afraid!!

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              #31
              There are some awesome crops locally , but there are also some black fields.

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                #32
                We have toured a good chunk of Alberta's cropland in the past week. From Southeast of Calgary to Peace River, and west of highway 21. That would include most of the highest producing dry land acres.

                Everywhere is suffering from heat and dry. Many areas having already lost potential from excess moisture earlier.

                Most areas had huge potential a month ago.
                A lot of wheat still has a chance to be a good crop. I'll go there are significant areas turning white.
                Barley looks a lot worse than wheat does. Rumors of combines going on barley by next week. Even locally a lot of barley is too far along to silage by now.

                Good canola crops are the exception almost everywhere. Even canola that looks good from the road Austin has a lot of volume but not near as many viable pods as it should. Most areas are done flowering. Potential is locked in now.
                A lot of peas looking almost ripe, third hand reports that pods are nearly empty.
                Corn looks fantastic.

                Based on what I've seen for this area of Alberta only. Wheat should still be average, maybe even above average with favorable weather from here on out. But nowhere near the record it was going to be a month ago
                Barley below average.
                Canola well below average.
                First cut hay respectable.
                Second cut hay, non-existent.
                Pastures, disaster.
                Late seeded Green feed or silage, disaster
                Anything under irrigation looks tremendous.

                You can easily tell the areas that have a little bit better soil or had one more rain




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                  #33
                  Timing is everything. We needed a good rain this weekend to stop the decline. Obviously, the subsoil will make a big difference in how the crop fills. In our area west of Battleford into Alberta, most of us received 4 to 5 inches falling in small amounts, the subsoil remains dry. When the combines roll, that will make the biggest difference.

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                    #34
                    Originally posted by westernvicki View Post
                    Timing is everything. We needed a good rain this weekend to stop the decline. Obviously, the subsoil will make a big difference in how the crop fills. In our area west of Battleford into Alberta, most of us received 4 to 5 inches falling in small amounts, the subsoil remains dry. When the combines roll, that will make the biggest difference.
                    Haven’t been east of Maidstone for a good couple weeks but darn stuff looked sweet to Battleford. Imagine this heat has put a lid on things. I’ve been fortunate with some extra moisture a lot didn’t get but still no bumper but maybe an average crop for these hills and solonetzic soils.

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                      #35
                      The growing season precipitation departure map for AB looks very accurate for the crops we have seen. With the area around and west of Red Deer being some of the worst.

                      I haven't been west of Edmonton. Looks like Woodlands area is also in rough shape again this year?

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