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Friday Crop Report on a Thursday. Week 21

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    #61
    Does anyone think that the stats can report from the end of July just released today is relevant given current conditions?

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      #62
      Of course it’s correct.

      I only have 20% of what I usually get.

      Someone else will make up my loss so it has to be correct.

      Absolute joke!!

      One thing I can’t really understand is wheat and durum bushel weight is 60 lbs but now they want 64.
      Does this mean that 1 ft is now 15 inches????

      Just another way we are getting shcrewed.

      Comment


        #63
        Originally posted by BTO780 View Post
        Of course it’s correct.

        I only have 20% of what I usually get.

        Someone else will make up my loss so it has to be correct.

        Absolute joke!!

        One thing I can’t really understand is wheat and durum bushel weight is 60 lbs but now they want 64.
        Does this mean that 1 ft is now 15 inches????

        Just another way we are getting shcrewed.
        I've seldom if ever capitalized on a "drought". Most are localized to the general area of "Livin the Dream"

        Comment


          #64
          with regards to the O.P. on the issue, yes it'll be relevant... Until it isnt relevant. Twitter[X] is aflutter with the durum numbers, and thats all that'll matter until the next set of numbers are released.

          Comment


            #65
            Last year the numbers didn't make sense, the crop insurance yields for durum in Alberta were well below what statscan said the durum production was. I can't see that Saskatchewan made up for yield loss in Alberta when they were in just as bad if not worse shape. Looks like a repeat.

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              #66
              The numbers from Stats Can are from July 22 satellite estimates?

              Conditions then were above average?

              Same report estimates wheat price to average slightly higher than last yr.
              Hope they are right on that one.

              Comment


                #67
                Originally posted by shtferbrains View Post
                The numbers from Stats Can are from July 22 satellite estimates?

                Conditions then were above average?

                Same report estimates wheat price to average slightly higher than last yr.
                Hope they are right on that one.
                I'm suspecting that was about the high point of western Canada crops this year. The east had recovered from the excess moisture, and the damage from the hot and dry wasn't yet obvious across the west.

                My question above was to producers, not what the market may believe.

                Somewhat opposite here.
                On our farm, canola looked worst late July to early August, with burnt out areas growing daily. Most did continue to flower somewhat after that, and temperatures moderated slightly, so a lot of the later pods didn't abort.

                Comment


                  #68
                  Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
                  Does anyone think that the stats can report from the end of July just released today is relevant given current conditions?
                  Does anyone think that the stats can report is ever relevant?
                  there fixed it for ya

                  Comment


                    #69
                    Wheat yields down 40% or more from projected yield estimates
                    that’s a fact everywhere in NW Sask the past few days .
                    It was very poor grade , before this rain event .
                    [NODE="2"]Forum[/NODE] or better wheat will be nearly non existent now, with very little taken off so far

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                      #70
                      Half inch today, will shut us down for a couple days.Crops vary in area ,wheat from 35- 70, all is a good grade so far.Not alot of barley, most is in the bin,60- 100 again good quality.Lentils vary from 10-35, good sample.Peas 35-55. No canola that i have heard but most are predicting 25-40.We are fortunate to have these yields on 7 inches of rain with none since June until today.I do feel for the guys that have to go tru the motions for little crop,now these grain prices are a whole other issue.

                      Comment


                        #71
                        Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
                        Wheat yields down 40% or more from projected yield estimates
                        that’s a fact everywhere in NW Sask the past few days .
                        It was very poor grade , before this rain event .
                        [NODE="2"]Forum[/NODE] or better wheat will be nearly non existent now, with very little taken off so far
                        Furrow it has been raining off and on all day here. Looking at radar it looked like your area was experiencing the same thing. Again rain amounts certainly vary, did you get much? Looks like 7/10 to well over an inch depending which cloud you were under here. More rain in August here than in June and July put together. This makes Statscan’s report at least for Alberta way off the mark in my opinion.


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                          #72
                          Hamloc, I was through your area a few weeks ago and thought crops looked promising at least compared to many parts of Alberta.
                          So when you indicated how disappointing your yields are, that doesn't bode well for most other areas. Or else it means the last few weeks have really shaved that much yield off.

                          Comment


                            #73
                            Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
                            Hamloc, I was through your area a few weeks ago and thought crops looked promising at least compared to many parts of Alberta.
                            So when you indicated how disappointing your yields are, that doesn't bode well for most other areas. Or else it means the last few weeks have really shaved that much yield off.
                            Yield potential probably peaked in early June and has been on a steady downhill slide due to lack of rain ever since. Interestingly I have a couple of small fields of Croplan Truflex canola which is still somewhat green due to the frost on June 17 which set it back. Will be interesting if the rain helped. Initially I thought earlier seeded canola would yield the best, the rains we have received in August have changed that. Regardless average yields will be lucky to be half of last year in all commodities!

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