Friday cocktail and end-of-week discussion

[SASKFARMER]

Wow, another wonderful week in crazy Canada.

Trudeau wants to ban more guns because deer hunters are the problem not criminals.

Jag the socialist commy drives a Mazarati but doesn't own it.

Trumps picks are getting hit hard from the left media, now having a beer on St Patricks day is offensive.

The left are losing their minds down south.

Grain prices got hit hard again this week. Canola looks like if you grow it and get 40 bus or less you are losing money next year.

Just got our winter buy now price for anhydrous. **** you fertilizer companies its up .04 cents from last year. So 150 lbs will cost an extra 6.00 an acre.

But hey put it down in fall and save, nope it works out to the same with applicator and you lose some.

Green lightning is starting to look better every day. Make our own shit.

So is there any crop that pencils out for 2025, or do we just admit its a money losing year on its way.

Cargill just slashed jobs all over north America.

My prediction in the new year lots of jobs will be eliminated in Agriculture.

Land rentals at $150 to $200 don't work anymore.

China going after canola and uncertainty on clean fuels is driving prices lower they say, 16.8 mt crop isn't positive?


Its not the 17.8 that stats CANADA says and we all know it. They are playing with numbers.

Oh well a few more days to get a decent contracted wheat contract in and head home for Christmas.

If I missed some other big news add.

Its Friday enjoy.

Bad Santa Bourbon Bomb

Ingredients:

• 2 oz bourbon (choose one you love!)
• 1 oz coffee liqueur (e.g., Kahlúa)
• 3 oz cola (classic or cherry cola for extra flair)
• 1 rogue cherry (because every Bad Santa needs a rebellious garnish)

Instructions:

1. Prep Your Glass
   Start with a sturdy rocks glass or lowball glass, the perfect vessel for a drink of this character. Fill it halfway with ice cubes, which chill the drink without diluting it too quickly.
2. Mix the Drink
   Pour the bourbon and coffee liqueur over the ice. These two ingredients create a rich, indulgent base. Slowly add the cola, watching as the fizz brings the drink to life. Stir gently to combine the flavors without losing the effervescence.
3. Garnish with Attitude
   The final touch is the rogue cherry. Perch it on the glass rim for a touch of drama, or drop it into the drink like a little secret. Either way, it’s a fun nod to the cocktail’s playful spirit.
4. Serve and Enjoy
   This cocktail is best served immediately to retain its fizz and vibrant flavours. Hold your glass high and toast to a season of mischief and merriment!

Enjoy




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[SASKFARMER]

Oh, trump told little Justin when he said 100 billion in tariffs would kill Canada. Then become our 51 states. Trump will mop the floor with Justin. Mexico is willing to deal with Trump we are screwed as long as Trudeau and the liberals are in power.

[blackpowder]

Remind me again when his time is up?

[goalieguy847]

Sorry, did 150 and 200$/ ac rent work.... ever?

malt barley works.
Peas work.
Fabas work.
Canola works on good ground.

wheat.. woof.
Feed barley. Dont even bother.

Prices will come back to buy some acres.
isnt it funny that in all of our brains we are so trained to believe that canola is our top.- money maker that on our highest rent it seems like our " only option".

best money on our farm this yr will be malt barley and oats.
peas did well in this area but didnt have any in.

low input low risk low equipment cost= the win

[TASFarms]

Making your own shit is going to be key going forward. High quality compost,buy it or make it yourself. Eliminates all fungicide and insecticides. Only thing is bought canola seed comes with it. 75% reduction in N year 1. 50% reduction in year 2. Some unplanned checks strips show no yield response on N application. Didn’t see a single wire worm on the farm anywhere on the farm this year.
less water used by the crop. Better soil, better quality. No more granular fertilizer in air cart. All seed. No need for super sized air cart.
Nitrogen could go $5 a pound I wouldn’t care. Genisis missed the boat. 10 years ago they should have built. Now it’s not needed.
lots of positives.
oat crop on canola quest field showed .9mt more oats outside the quest field on a mile pass 40’ head. Less fertilizer is a lot better.

[blackpowder]

Wheat normally a dog. Replacing it not easy. Malt difficult to margin here comparatively. Oats a squeeker.
Peas sure. Canola normally ok.
Looking at non traditional stuff.
Rents aren't going down here. Always a false dream here. Good luck.

[furrowtickler]

Nothing works here at $150 / ac rent let alone more
bumper crops happen here 1/10 or less

Chasing that dream is costly here , rainfall way way too inconsistent
Agree with Tas , it’s time to make changes .

[goalieguy847]

When im pencilling for next yr im targetting 650 gross/ ac if my inputs are 300$/ ac or higher.

550 $/ ac if its a lower input crop

margins will be the same.


Its a bit high but its what im goin after.

if i cant logistically ( realistically even in a bumper yr) get to that number... then no point in growing that crop.
80 bushel hard red @ 8.15/ bushel.

is that easier or tougher to achieve than 100 bushel malt @ 6.50
(Malt costs a bit less than hrs to grow but more in haul cost and more time risk as we always swath it and get after it)


50 bushel peas @ 10.50 nets me the same as 60 bshl canola @ 13.

whats more feasible to achieve AND what am i able to do within our own rotation.

[Old Cowzilla]

Grain prices not scarring too many farmers in this area. Ad's in paper looking for more dirt,2 more mixed farming ops just a few mins north of me sold all there cows 2 weeks ago. 40 bu canola more common on average year around here and local grain co suggesting $13 targets for new year ??????? Getting super deals on canola seed now only $800 a bag do you bto's get a hundred or more off those prices?

[furrowtickler]

When im pencilling for next yr im targetting 650 gross/ ac if my inputs are 300$/ ac or higher.

550 $/ ac if its a lower input crop

margins will be the same.


Its a bit high but its what im goin after.

if i cant logistically ( realistically even in a bumper yr) get to that number... then no point in growing that crop.
80 bushel hard red @ 8.15/ bushel.

is that easier or tougher to achieve than 100 bushel malt @ 6.50
(Malt costs a bit less than hrs to grow but more in haul cost and more time risk as we always swath it and get after it)


50 bushel peas @ 10.50 nets me the same as 60 bshl canola @ 13.

whats more feasible to achieve AND what am i able to do within our own rotation.

We should be in those numbers , but the past 4/5 years we have been 60% of that .
Tough to pencil anything out

[SASKFARMER]

Ok I agree we will average over 800 an acre on our malt barley. It’s work but haven’t missed on malt in years.

peas at 50 x 12 was. Winner at $600.00

Wheat at over 70 $560 to $600

But to get better yields it costs.

drought hurt this year as July had min rain which for us isn’t norm.

canola looked good on first delivered product $560 to 600 but now not so good.

our average for canola is real good so this year we’re still over our crop insurance 70% coverage levels.

fert up so not good. The one thing I got cheaper is my roundup.

[SASKFARMER]

Warming up real nice then more snow on its way. Ditches are full out our way.

[Hamloc]

When im pencilling for next yr im targetting 650 gross/ ac if my inputs are 300$/ ac or higher.

550 $/ ac if its a lower input crop

margins will be the same.


Its a bit high but its what im goin after.

if i cant logistically ( realistically even in a bumper yr) get to that number... then no point in growing that crop.
80 bushel hard red @ 8.15/ bushel.

is that easier or tougher to achieve than 100 bushel malt @ 6.50
(Malt costs a bit less than hrs to grow but more in haul cost and more time risk as we always swath it and get after it)


50 bushel peas @ 10.50 nets me the same as 60 bshl canola @ 13.

whats more feasible to achieve AND what am i able to do within our own rotation.

My math is a little different. I would say cost per acre ranges from a low of $400 up to about $460 at the high end for canola. Used to grow malt, generally a waste of time. Also used to grow peas but not worth the wear and tear on the combine even with Macdon headers. As for yields 80 bushel wheat is at the high end in my area, 70 is more realistic. Growing a little more Soft White wheat. Nice crop to grow and good straw for the cows.

[goalieguy847]

My 300$/ ac is using direct inputs and fuel / spray/ combine/ trucking.
110$/ ac fert
80 seed
20$/ ac in crop herbicide ( truflex RR canola @ 1.33 L/ ac in 2 passes no pre burn) + generic proline fungicide
90$/ ac seeding etc costs

Crop insurance included


basically costs that are " similiar" for all farmers.

I may be low. But its in that ballpark.

Overall after a farm avg rent/ land payment costs i hope that the crop willl net us 60 to 120$/ ac.

If its pencilling in at anything less than that. No bueno.

[Hamloc]

My 300$/ ac is using direct inputs and fuel / spray/ combine/ trucking.
110$/ ac fert
80 seed
20$/ ac in crop herbicide ( truflex RR canola @ 1.33 L/ ac in 2 passes no pre burn) + generic proline fungicide
90$/ ac seeding etc costs

Crop insurance included


basically costs that are " similiar" for all farmers.

I may be low. But its in that ballpark.

Overall after a farm avg rent/ land payment costs i hope that the crop willl net us 60 to 120$/ ac.

If its pencilling in at anything less than that. No bueno.

You forgot land cost which I put in at $125 an acre. I also would say $90 an acre for all seeding harvesting costs is a bit light. Machinery depreciation alone is at least $50 an acre.