Canola update

[LWeber]

Reality check:

http://www.agr.gc.ca/pfra/drought/prrl30dy_e.htm

http://www.agr.gc.ca/pfra/drought/prrl60dy_e.htm

http://www.agr.gc.ca/pfra/drought/prrl90dy_e.htm

[skhadenuf]

Your absolutely right gustgd the crop definately should not be wrote off, BUT alot of people are thinking last year is the norm we had perfect weather after the bad start. I'm just saying the canola crop is not looking like 40 right now as it is, and we are in a near serious if not condition of serious drought that is going to require a ton of rain right away or at least quick intervals of rain all summer. I don't see that in the forecast althouth shouldn't put much in the forecast either. What was reseeded in areas there was no doubt that it had to be done and most is into dust.

[sewen]

Those maps would check with my reality.

[SASKFARMER3]

I agree it is to early to write off this crop but for most people (Davidson Area ) canola at 50 or 60 is a one in ten year thing. We have been growing **** and canola since early 70s it is to early to call it a wreck but with the weather pattern we have at the present and cool nights and windy days three more weeks will tell the tale.

[wd9]

Those maps check with mine too. The 30 is probably the most important as snowfall April 1st doesn't exactly help a crop.

[furrowtickler]

I will not write off canola at all and neither should anyone, but reality is that each freeze in June knocks off at leats 5 bus later regardless of 1 or -4. Phone them again on Sat morning friday a.m. don't look good. 70% of the farmers in this area at least had no idea it froze yesterday until today. My thermometer showed only -1 but damage like -5 or 6. It all has to do with conditions. If their canola was seeded on smf or somewhat blackened soil they may see 10-20% damage at best. There will be no 50 bus country left, I'm sorry _ it is too late for a miracle two years in a row. reality bites!

[mcfarms]

Sadly even the irrigated stuff isn't great as the repeated frosts have been holding it back beating on it as well, our early canola came up ok but is just sitting there after the frost worked it over , the humidity in Lethbridge tonight was 13 percent. and the temp was falling like a stone as I came across a field from setting a pivot just at dark. My most recent recollection of a year like this netted about a 25-30 bushel crop and that was even after rains came. Our canola was bolting last year 20 days from now. Not this year. Even the cereals are having a tough time of it, now it just came to me as I was typing what we are seeing here are desert like conditions with low low humidity, high daytime temps and nightime temps near or below freezing all in early June. Not many plants thrive in those conditions. True all is not lost but things don't swing around quick June goes by fast and with it the potential . Hope we get this rain this weekend. As I was sprayig tonight our cattle were coming across a field in the distance and I could see the dusk plume from where they were walking from a mile or so away, scary. My father always said crops just wither and fail and then it's next year, but cattle get hungry and its still this year..

[MoeAgostino]

Is there any decent canola in Western Canada? Seems like we are behind everywhere and the weather is not cooperating.

Thanks,

Moe