Weather

[cottonpicken]

After reading larrys email today,i'm extremely confused.(love the canola map)
I never signed up for leners email trial offer.
How significant a threat are we facing this weekend?

[SASKFARMER3]

Their is more Canola grown in NE Sask than all of southern Sask. So a frost on a late crop would wipe out probably 25 to 50% of crop if its a killing frost. Drew has been calling for sat Sunday as serious. Environment Canada has none actually higher temps for NE Sask. But frost is a big concern. BIG BIG. Oh the markets know better. HA HA HA HA HA HA>

[bucket]

Sat on the combine all day listening to the radio and nothing about rain for today. Yet I wake up scambling to get the tarps on because its wet outside. We need a better weather service.

[SASKFARMER3]

I agree Environment Canada is Calling for 9 in NE Sask on Sat and Sunday.
Yet US is saying possible frost.

[SASKFARMER3]

Accu Weather 6 to 8

[kamichel]

Acording to mysask.com 8 tonight then 8,10,9,12 to monday. Where is the risk? Of course this forcast is far from correct and the airport pavement could make these readings too high.

[Zaphod]

Whatever happened to the full moon frost on the 20th? What a crock. Eventually we'll have a frost and whoever GUESSED right for that day will claim to be a genius. Here's my forecast: gradually shorter days with lower temperatures and long-term, snow. I bet I'll be bang-on.

[Hopperbin]

That was new moon 20th. Next is Sept.18th and full moon Sept. 4

[Zaphod]

You're right. It was the new moon frost prediction. Same conclusion though, the forecast was completely wrong. But someone will eventually guess right. Emphasis on "guess".

[LWeber]

you keep wetting and sticking your finger in the air Zaph - i'll watch the three computer models and worry for you when they are all in agreement.


my grandfather said worry about the things you can change and he was right; except not when you are in a weather market...

[Zaphod]

So you can change the weather, can you? Wow, you've got way more influence than I thought. Frankly, I like to avoid pricing during a weather market. The guys who held their canola through the fall of 2004 got absolutely slaughtered because they listened to weather forecasts.

[LWeber]

Dont be ass re. changing weather BS.

While you are right that it puked in the fall of 2004 - cash prices also rose 75 cents in the days after the frost.

It froze Aug 19, 2004

AUG 19 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $8.25
AUG 20 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $8.45
AUG 23 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $8.75
AUG 24 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $8.90
AUG 25 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $8.75
AUG 26 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $9.00
AUG 27 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $8.75
AUG 30 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $9.00
SEP 15 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $8.00
SEP 30 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $6.51
OCT 30 2004 - CNL LLOYD - $6.53