Wouldn't rolling it increase your basis?
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Not if the market is inverted. This was the case last winter. I rolled it from Mar to May to July and made some $ (about $8/mt) that reduced my CWB basis. The MGE futures price was lower than the current month which made it work. If the market has a normal carry (ie. every futures month out is higher reflecting the time value of money or whatever) then my idea to rolling and waiting has no merit.
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