dmlfarmer
After 46 postings and given the time of year (seeding/should be
following markets) but your line of questions made me think and go
back over some old ideas.
Will note that the CWB deliveries are normally weighted into the last
quarter of the crop year. This year is no different. If you want to look
at historical evidence, go the to Informa Economics study "An Open
Market for CWB Grains" (Figure 8, page 24).
http://www1.agric.gov.ab.ca/$Department/deptdocs.nsf/all/agc6751/
$FILE/informafinalreport.pdf
You can also look at the tables on page 54 (table 2.31) that shows
average time in the primary elevator.
To highlight using Canadian canola and wheat based on the five year
average deliveries.
Canola takes about 28 % of annual deliveries off the combine first
quarter (Aug/Sept/Oct) with the remaining 72 % of deliveries split
evenly over the next 3 quarters. Time in storage is about 20 days.
Wheat deliveries are weighted to the 4 th quarter (May/June/July) with
30 % occurring during this period. Average days in storage 35 to 40
days. durum is worst at 45 to 65 days.
Some of the answer is the multiple class, grade and protein
segregations in wheat. But a sales system that is based on having
actual product in the commercial system before sales are made would
seem to be highly inefficient - particularly when farmers are delivering
right in the same period that US farmers are harvesting and selling
their new crop winter wheat - you can look at US farmers delivery
patterns.
Likely won't get a response but the issue is a lot more than the one
pony show you would seem to highlight. It is a long term system
problem.
The challenge back is how you would measure CWB logistics
performance. It is not measured in the current annual report.
After 46 postings and given the time of year (seeding/should be
following markets) but your line of questions made me think and go
back over some old ideas.
Will note that the CWB deliveries are normally weighted into the last
quarter of the crop year. This year is no different. If you want to look
at historical evidence, go the to Informa Economics study "An Open
Market for CWB Grains" (Figure 8, page 24).
http://www1.agric.gov.ab.ca/$Department/deptdocs.nsf/all/agc6751/
$FILE/informafinalreport.pdf
You can also look at the tables on page 54 (table 2.31) that shows
average time in the primary elevator.
To highlight using Canadian canola and wheat based on the five year
average deliveries.
Canola takes about 28 % of annual deliveries off the combine first
quarter (Aug/Sept/Oct) with the remaining 72 % of deliveries split
evenly over the next 3 quarters. Time in storage is about 20 days.
Wheat deliveries are weighted to the 4 th quarter (May/June/July) with
30 % occurring during this period. Average days in storage 35 to 40
days. durum is worst at 45 to 65 days.
Some of the answer is the multiple class, grade and protein
segregations in wheat. But a sales system that is based on having
actual product in the commercial system before sales are made would
seem to be highly inefficient - particularly when farmers are delivering
right in the same period that US farmers are harvesting and selling
their new crop winter wheat - you can look at US farmers delivery
patterns.
Likely won't get a response but the issue is a lot more than the one
pony show you would seem to highlight. It is a long term system
problem.
The challenge back is how you would measure CWB logistics
performance. It is not measured in the current annual report.
Comment