Kevin Hursh wrote an article this morning stating that crop insurance participation could decline with the implimentation of CAISP. I disagree. The absolue maximum coverage a farmer can recieve from CAISP is 70% of a production margin decline.
I used an over-simplified example of a farm to see how this would work.
Mr. Farmer 1000 acres of durum:
REVENUES:
1000 x 40 bushels x $5.00 = $200,000
CAISP ELIGIBLE EXPENSES:
Fertilizer - 1000 x $25.00 = $25,000
Chemical - 1000 x $20.00 = $20,000
Crp. Insur - 1000 x $ 5.00 = $ 5,000
Salaries - = $10,000
Seed - 1000 x $ 7.00 = $ 7,000
Trucking - 40,000 x .12 = $ 4,800
Fuel - 1000 x $ 5.00 = $ 5,000
TOTAL = $76,800
REFERENCE MARGIN = $123,200
Let's assume the next year is a total crop failure and the producer opted out of crop insurance.
Maximum Government Payment -
$123,200 x 70% = $86,240
$ 76,800 x 60% = 46,080
Total = 132,320
Crop Insurance Would have Paid -
1000 acres x $120.00 = $120,000
The maximum government payment under the CAISP program is based on the mere assumption that loss ($76,800) are going to be covered by the program, as currently they are not.
This huge loss year now shows up on our refernce margin calculation as a poor year and will bring down your refernce margin for subsequent years.
To me it makes no sense opting out of crop insurance.
I used an over-simplified example of a farm to see how this would work.
Mr. Farmer 1000 acres of durum:
REVENUES:
1000 x 40 bushels x $5.00 = $200,000
CAISP ELIGIBLE EXPENSES:
Fertilizer - 1000 x $25.00 = $25,000
Chemical - 1000 x $20.00 = $20,000
Crp. Insur - 1000 x $ 5.00 = $ 5,000
Salaries - = $10,000
Seed - 1000 x $ 7.00 = $ 7,000
Trucking - 40,000 x .12 = $ 4,800
Fuel - 1000 x $ 5.00 = $ 5,000
TOTAL = $76,800
REFERENCE MARGIN = $123,200
Let's assume the next year is a total crop failure and the producer opted out of crop insurance.
Maximum Government Payment -
$123,200 x 70% = $86,240
$ 76,800 x 60% = 46,080
Total = 132,320
Crop Insurance Would have Paid -
1000 acres x $120.00 = $120,000
The maximum government payment under the CAISP program is based on the mere assumption that loss ($76,800) are going to be covered by the program, as currently they are not.
This huge loss year now shows up on our refernce margin calculation as a poor year and will bring down your refernce margin for subsequent years.
To me it makes no sense opting out of crop insurance.
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