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Let Quick plainly EXPLAIN to the Libtards
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Hey Chucky a new horse to ride...
"Are you ready to give up coffee, "to save the planet"? Swiss banker and World Economic Forum "agenda contributor", Hubert Keller: "The coffee that we all drink emits between 15 and 20 tonnes of CO2 per tonne of coffee... Every time we drink coffee, we are basically putting CO2 into the atmosphere."
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Every time a flat earther breathes all we get is more hot air and more CO2!
More CO2 and a hotter and dryer summer will be good for you!
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Any weather forecaster who is afraid to mention the impact of climate change isn't credible. Might as well look at a pigs spleen!
Numerous organizations that recognize human cause climate change have a range of longer term spring and summer forecasts you can look at. Which one is going to be accurate? i will tell you in October.
And climate is measured over 30 year trends based on accurate data not forecasts.
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[url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R[/url]
2.1. Mean, maximum, and minimum air temperature changes
Canada’s mean air temperature has increased at twice the rate of increase in global mean air temperature (Zhang et al. 2019 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref150);[/url] Environment Canada 2022 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref45[/url])). This is mainly attributed to a large change in the net radiation balance near the poles, and results in loss of sea ice and greater rate of warming in the Arctic region, known as Arctic amplification (Dai et al. 2019 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref40[/url])). Between 1948 and 2012, Canada’s average annual air temperature rose by 1.7 °C (range 1.1–2.3 °C) (Vincent et al. 2015 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref139[/url])), compared to global average air temperature increase of 0.8 °C between 1900 and 2020 (National Academy of Sciences 2020 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref102[/url])). A steady increase was observed since the 1970s and was most pronounced in western Canada (northern British Columbia, and Alberta), where average air temperatures increased by 4–6 °C in winter between 1948 and 2012 (Vincent et al. 2015 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref139[/url])). Major et al. (2021) ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref81[/url]) determined that Canad’s average air temperature had increased to a lesser extent, 0.9 °C from 1920 to 2019, yet ranged from 2.1 to 3.0 °C.
Warming trends in Canada’s climate are also evident when analyzing daily maximum and minimum air temperature changes. For example, over the 1948–2016 period, the summer 95th percentile average across Canada had increased by 0.9 and 1.3 °C for daily maximum and minimum air temperatures, respectively (Vincent et al. 2018 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref140[/url])). The winter 95th percentile average revealed even greater increases of 1.4 and 2.1 °C for daily maximum and minimum air temperatures, respectively (Vincent et al. 2018 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref140[/url])). Similar to the previous studies (Vincent et al. 2015 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref139[/url]), 2018 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref140);[/url] Zhang et al. 2019 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref150[/url])), proportionately greater warming occurred during winter and spring. For example, Major et al. (2021) ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref81[/url]) showed that in January, the daily minimum air temperature increased from −17.7 °C in 1920 to −15.8 °C in 2019, whereas the daily maximum air temperature in July was constant at 23.6 °C in 1920 compared to 23.4 °C in 2019.
Spatial variability in air temperature changes were evident in southern Canada. From 1900 to 1998, southern Canada’s annual average air temperature increased by 0.9 °C relative to the 1961–1990 average and this was due to increases up to the 1940s and after the 1970s (Zhang et al. 2000 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref151[/url])). Vincent et al. (2015) ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref139[/url]) found that the average air temperature in southern Canada had increased by 1.6 °C for the 1900–2012 period. Significant increases occurred in all seasons, though the greatest warming had occurred in the western region (eastern British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, and western Manitoba), and during winter, where increases ranged from 2 to 4 °C (Vincent et al. 2015 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref139[/url])). The annual mean air temperature in southern Canada during 1900–1998 increased by 0.5 to 1.5 °C and the Prairies had the highest increase of 1.5 °C (Zhang et al. 2000 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref151[/url])). Minimum air temperature increases of 1–2.5 °C were also observed for 1900–1998, with the greatest increase in the Prairies and southern Quebec in spring and winter (Zhang et al. 2000 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref151[/url])).
In the agricultural regions of the Prairies, Cutforth and Judiesch (2007) ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref37[/url]) reported that warming has occurred since 1951, and the annual average daily maximum and minimum air temperatures during 1951–2004 had increased by 0.2 and 0.3 °C per decade, respectively. This equated to total increases of 1.2 and 1.4 °C for the maximum and minimum air temperatures, respectively, between 1951 and 2004. Additional data for 1950–2007 revealed that January–April had the largest air temperature increase in the Prairies, with maximum and minimum air temperatures increasing by 4.9 and 4.8 °C, respectively (Cutforth and Judiesch 2012 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref36[/url])). However, in that study May–August experienced an increase in minimum air temperatures of 1.2 °C, but no changes to maximum air temperatures, and no changes to both parameters during September–December. Another study in western Canada for the 1950–2010 period reported increases in average maximum and minimum air temperatures of 1.2 and 3.6 °C, respectively (O'Neil et al. 2017 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref109[/url])).
Jiang et al. (2017) ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref62[/url]) reported that warming in Alberta had occurred before the 1940s and after the 1970s and was most prevalent in winter. Northern Alberta had shown a larger temperature change from 1900 to 2011 than southern Alberta (Jiang et al. 2017 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref62[/url])). Others concluded that Alberta’s warming has persisted since the 1950s (Hayhoe and Stoner 2019 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref55[/url])). Overall, the consensus is that both maximum and minimum air temperatures have risen in the Prairies and proportionately more in winter and spring than in fall and summer (Gan 1998 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref49);[/url] Zhang et al. 2000 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref151);[/url] Cutforth and Judiesch 2007 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref37);[/url] Vincent et al. 2015, 2018 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref139);[/url] O'Neil et al. 2017 ([url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R#core-ref109)).[/url]
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Originally posted by chuckChuck View Post
And climate is measured over 30 year trends based on accurate data not forecasts.
I couldn't have said it better myself. It is so rewarding to have you finally learn this simple concept. After all the years and years that I have been admonishing you for presenting modeled forecasts as evidence of real time climate change or the effects of climate change.
It takes a very patient teacher with a student as obstinate as this one.
I don't know how many learning disabilities you have that makes it so difficult to learn, but I'm glad we have been able to overcome them at least occasionally.
I am very proud of your accomplishment chuck.
And I look forward to being even more proud of you the next time I ask you for data backing up your claims about climate or renewable energy, when you will present actual real-time data instead of modeled forecasts.Last edited by AlbertaFarmer5; Apr 4, 2024, 10:55.
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Originally posted by AllisWD45 View PostWow pretty fancy cut and paste!!
And if he actually understood the information he is posting, you would think he would be capable of paraphrasing it into a Cliff's notes version which his intended audience may actually read, instead of the cryptic unreadable mess we see above.
The current method of throwing random sciency sounding cut and paste against the wall to see what sticks does not indicate any knowledge of the topic.Last edited by AlbertaFarmer5; Apr 4, 2024, 12:17.
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[url]https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full/10.1139/cjps-2022-0215?af=R[/url]
"Significant increases occurred in all seasons, though the greatest warming had occurred in the western region (eastern British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, and western Manitoba), and during winter, where increases ranged from 2 to 4 °C"
Canada’s mean air temperature has increased at twice the rate of increase in global mean air temperature (Zhang et al. 2019
Warming trends in Canada’s climate are also evident when analyzing daily maximum and minimum air temperature changes. For example, over the 1948–2016 period, the summer 95th percentile average across Canada had increased by 0.9 and 1.3 °C for daily maximum and minimum air temperatures, respectively (Vincent et al. 2018
So where is your evidence they are wrong?
This is actual temperature record data not a model based prediction. But you disagree with the actual past measurements? (Of course you should know from your vast experience in climate study!)
I guess so, since you said asphalt has caused a warming planet! Even in the arctic and the ocean?
And many of the models have been quite accurate in predicting temperature changes.Last edited by chuckChuck; Apr 5, 2024, 07:59.
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