The slow slide into drought

[shtferbrains]

What long term average is being compared to here? Is it the typical 25, or 30 year period? The entire instrument record? The historical reconstructions going back centuries?

Assuming it is the most recent 25 or 30 year period used in climate science, is this actually a slide into drought, or a return to the mean?
The preceding 30 years have seen some exceptionally wet years on the semi arid prairies, compared to the historical record.

How do the numbers look if compared to the entire historical record?

Here are some 5 yr and 30 yr moving average charts going back to 1875.

The 5 yr moving average clearly shows drought events.

You might have to explain them to Chuck as he seems unable to comprehend data.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

Thank you for doing my homework for me.
As I was alluding to in my previous post. We have Cherry picked the wettest period in recorded history and used that as a benchmark, to claim that climate change is causing drought.
I won't even bother trying to explain it to chuck. His mind is made up.

[shtferbrains]

Here is a short explanation of 30 yr moving average from Les Henry:

Below is a graph showing the 30-year moving average precipitation for Swift Current, Sask. As plotted, 1915 is the average of 1886-1915 and 2020 is the average of 1991-2020.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

So, in other words, Chuck fell for the old cherry picked graph with most of the relevant time period cut off, yet again.
It seems that every one of his climate change proofs is the same.
Forest fires, sea ice, glaciers, temperature, extreme weather, etc. All of them fail to stand up to scrutiny when you look at all of the data.

It's as if these cherry picked graphs are just designed to catch the low information, non critical thinkers like Chuck. It takes only a few minutes of research to disprove them.

[TSIPP]

I guess nobody believes chuckroach’s science fiction agenda again, his experts are as wacky as he is.

[WiltonRanch]

Sad thing is many buy the sky is falling mantra. Coming off the red scare of the Cold War fearing a nuke strike and a commie hiding behind the bush to this ‘existential’ threat people are easily feared into anything with adequate messaging. Joe McCarthy and Hoover wrecked the lives of many on their witch hunts for commies and are looked back upon with disdain. I would guess the biggest demagogues of the current crisis will probably be viewed the same as well.

[LWeber]

You climate change deniers should be happy if you think more CO2 along with hotter and drier summers are good for us!

Explain the STATSCAN data derived graph and look at the last five years in the graph that is highlighted in your cut and paste....

[jazz]

We all know what this is about;

[chuckChuck]

So wheat yields going up since 1908 is a sign the climate change isn't happening?

So it had nothing to do with better varieties, better farming practices and increased fertilzer use?

And climate is measured in 30 year segments not 5.

But it's interesting to see how the 5 year deficit in moisture and hotter and dryer summers is causing more drought losses in the southern prairies.

[chuckChuck]

The 5 year records from Betzte clearly show that all those locations across the Prairies are reporting well below average precipitation most years.

And drought cycles and variability occurs naturally.

But we are already seeing more extreme weather events with relatively small changes.
And the climate scientist are saying these extreme events will become more intense and frequent.

Deny human caused climate change all you want, just don't expect taxpayers to bail you out all the time while you say the climate isn't changing.