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This is how Canada should deal with Donald Trump, irrational actor

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    This is how Canada should deal with Donald Trump, irrational actor

    This is how Canada should deal with Donald Trump, irrational actor

    Andrew Coyne

    [url]https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-this-is-how-canada-should-deal-with-donald-trump-irrational-actor/[/url]

    Good to see no one is panicking.

    The president-elect of the United States, in a late-night social-media outburst, has declared he would impose a 25-per-cent tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico – on his first day in office, yet.

    He does not necessarily have that authority – constitutionally, tariffs are Congress’s responsibility – but would have to rely on untested emergency powers, exposing him to legal challenges. If implemented, the tariffs would cause immense havoc, not least for Americans, raising prices for consumers and blowing up integrated continental supply chains, exposing him to political blowback. They are also, needless to say, explicitly prohibited under the trilateral free trade agreement to which he is a signatory.

    The whole idea is so insane that everyone assumes it must be a negotiating tactic – that when Donald Trump ties the tariffs to the two countries’ alleged failure to stem the flow of fentanyl and illegal aliens into the United States, he means he would lift the tariffs if they somehow achieved this. Or if they did something else, or something in addition. But no one knows. He also likes tariffs for their own sake. For that matter, he likes issuing threats for their own sake.

    And he’s not even president yet.

    Nevertheless, hardly had the post left his fingertips when prominent voices in this country were heard demanding – well, demanding all sorts of things, none of them sensible. Even in advance of Mr. Trump’s latest threat, the Premier of Ontario, Doug Ford, had called for Mexico to be thrown out of NAFTA. Now he wants to blow up bilateral trade, demanding that Canada retaliate against Mr. Trump’s insane and self-destructive tariffs with insane and self-destructive tariffs of its own.

    Other voices urged a more – what shall we call it? – conciliatory line. Or perhaps “servile” would be better: what the historian and political theorist Timothy Snyder has called “anticipatory obedience.” The Premier of Alberta, Danielle Smith, not content with urging the Canadian government to negotiate at the point of a metaphoric gun, actively took Mr. Trump’s side, noting his “valid concerns” about “illegal activities at our shared border.” The Premier of Saskatchewan, Scott Moe, agreed, noting “we can all benefit from additional border security stopping the flow of illegal drugs and migrants across our borders.”

    The Premier of Quebec, François Legault, took to social media to fret about the “enormous risk” to Quebec’s economy from Mr. Trump’s tariff threat and demand that “everything possible” be done to avoid it. He offered Justin Trudeau “the full co-operation of the Quebec government” in this regard, by which he meant, as he later clarified, that Quebec must have a place at the negotiating table.

    As for the federal opposition leaders, they ranged from belligerent (Jagmeet Singh wants a “war room” to “fight like hell”) to irrelevant (Pierre Poilievre says the tariffs are an occasion to axe the carbon tax, as if this had anything to do with anything). Various others could be heard insisting that the Trump tariff threat was proof that it was now time to do whatever they had always advocated doing.

    Trump’s proposed tariffs would devastate Canada’s major exporting industries and gouge consumers, experts warn

    All of which is not to endorse the Trudeau government’s approach, so far as it has one. But if the government seems uncertain about how to proceed, it is at least not taking out a billboard to advertise how panicked and compliant it is. It has at least not seized the opportunity, in the early days of what looks to be a lengthy crisis, to say something provably stupid, or appallingly self-serving. It has at least not turned its guns inward, or deserted the country in the face of the enemy.

    Continued...

    #2
    Let’s all take a deep breath, shall we? And after we have, let us agree that there is no practical benefit in attempting to meet Mr. Trump’s demands:
    • because it is wrong to appease a bully, for starters;
    • because to do so can only invite further demands, and further threats;
    • because his “concerns” are not, in fact, “valid” – the amount of fentanyl entering the U.S. from Canada is trivial a grand total of 43 pounds of it in the last fiscal year), the number of illegal migrants scarcely less so (U.S. border patrol officers stopped fewer than 24,000 people last year, compared to more than 1.5 million crossing from Mexico);
    • because it is each country’s responsibility to control its own borders, that is, to police the entry of people and goods, not to demand that others police their exit;
    • because if it were such an “easily solvable” matter as Mr. Trump, in his endless devotion to easy solutions, pretends, it would have been done long ago.

    There is not, in short, a great deal we can do to satisfy Mr. Trump, and if there were, we would have no assurance that he would remain satisfied for long. There is no point in negotiating with terrorists.
    (It’s not even a negotiation. A negotiation is when each side comes to the table, not only with demands, but with something to offer in return. Just threatening to do something horrible if your demands are not met is not negotiating. It’s blackmail. It’s the difference between offering to write a story in exchange for money and threatening to.)

    More than that, it represents a fundamental misunderstanding of Mr. Trump – a trap that those of us in the reality-based world continue to fall into, which is to attribute to him a rationality he does not possess. It is irrational enough to threaten to impose 25-per-cent tariffs on your nearest neighbours and major trading partners, for problems they did not cause. It is doubly irrational as a response to problems that are, in fact, subsiding: The number of unauthorized crossings on the Mexican border is falling, not rising (monthly encounters in September, at 54,000, were down 75 per cent from the year previous; for the entire fiscal year, they were down 14 per cent), as are the number of fentanyl deaths
    as are the number of fentanyl deaths (off 10 per cent this year).​

    Nevertheless, there is at least in this a notional rationality, a potential for rationality, a theoretical connection between putative cause and putative effect, if not in this world then in some world it is possible to imagine. The idea, often expressed, that Mr. Trump is essentially “transactional” – that he may not be guided by the usual principles of statecraft, let alone any of the higher ideals, but is at least intelligible in purely “what’s in it for me” terms – is based on attributing to him a kind of grubby rationality, as if he were merely a debased version of ourselves.
    Except there’s no evidence that that’s how he actually thinks. He is not rational, and does not think far enough ahead to connect cause and effect in the usual ways. He is a narcissistic psychopath – a Neroist, as I have called him. His primary motive is not self-interest, as we might understand it, but self-aggrandizement, the constant nourishing and enlargement of his vision of himself, which in his case can only be achieved by destroying everything else.

    In every situation, then, he will do, not merely the wrong thing, but the worst possible thing; the worse it is, and the more damage it causes, the more the people he despises object, and the greater his feeling of triumph. How else to explain, for example, his choices for cabinet: an apparent Russian asset for Defence Secretary, a vaccine-denier for Health Secretary, an alleged statutory rapist for Attorney-General and so on.

    I think we have to look at the current crisis, then, not through the lens of trade or diplomacy or even extortion, but through the psychology of a deeply disturbed man. Grovelling before him, for example, as some of our Premiers seem inclined to do, is unlikely to assuage him: It’s the sort of thing he lives for.

    Caving to his demands, likewise, is futile: not because he will rationally conclude that our willingness to accept a first demand suggests we might concede to others, but because the dopamine high he experiences from dominating others will take control of him, demanding to be supplied with further hits.

    What should we do instead?
    • 1. Play for time. Whatever he might imagine, Mr. Trump was elected with the thinnest of mandates. He is, what is more, a lame duck: The clock began ticking on his presidency from the day he was elected, as it is ticking on his mental and physical health. His thirst for dictatorship is real, but is in competition with his emotional instability and sheer incompetence. The longer time goes on, the more mistakes he is likely to make, and the weaker he is likely to become, politically and otherwise.
    • 2. Prey upon his weaknesses. Probe his psyche. Figure out his break points. Do not be afraid to annoy him. Most people do stupid things when they’re angry; multiply by 100 in the case of Mr. Trump. Tempt him to give into his demons; lead him onto the rocks of his own intemperance. His mistakes are your opportunities.
    • 3. Stand together. Work with allies, in Canada – yes, that means getting the Premiers onside, if only to shut them up – in Washington and state capitals, around the world. We are dealing with a dangerous lunatic. That is inescapable, at least for the foreseeable future. As with the Soviet Union, we cannot defeat him. But we can contain him.
    • 4. Stand up straight. Ultimately we can’t control what Mr. Trump does. We can, however, control what we do. Maybe we can’t prevent him from wrecking the North American economy, or whatever else he decides to do to us. But we can at least maintain our dignity, our composure and our self-respect. That’s not the only thing that matters, but it’s something.
    ​​

    Comment


      #3
      So why are Scott Moe and Danny Smith bending over to support Trump so fast?

      Why are they such pansies and willing to give in to the bully who doesn't give a shit what happens to his trading partners? What will they agree to next as Trump destabilizes trade and costs industries a lot of money and jobs?

      Us Customs seized 43 lbs of fentanyl last year and stopped 24000 illegal migrants on the border with Canada. 1.5 Million were stopped at the Mexican border and US Customs stopped 1810 lbs of fentanyl​ per month (21720 lbs) in 1 year


      Coyne has it right:
      Let’s all take a deep breath, shall we? And after we have, let us agree that there is no practical benefit in attempting to meet Mr. Trump’s demands:
      • because it is wrong to appease a bully, for starters;
      • because to do so can only invite further demands, and further threats;
      • because his “concerns” are not, in fact, “valid” – the amount of fentanyl entering the U.S. from Canada is trivial a grand total of 43 pounds of it in the last fiscal year), the number of illegal migrants scarcely less so (U.S. border patrol officers stopped fewer than 24,000 people last year, compared to more than 1.5 million crossing from Mexico);
      • because it is each country’s responsibility to control its own borders, that is, to police the entry of people and goods, not to demand that others police their exit;
      • because if it were such an “easily solvable” matter as Mr. Trump, in his endless devotion to easy solutions, pretends, it would have been done long ago.

      Comment


        #4
        Not surprised you quoted the Coyne, Chuck.

        Do we have a border issue that impacts the USA?
        Do we have from massive unmonitored entrance, and border crawl?
        Do we have a drug issue?( I believe the left just voted to make all illegal drugs legal!)
        Do we have an increase in crime?

        Trump is a master negotiator. He has full control of the house and the Senate.

        This is the statement we should make:

        The Government of Canada statement:

        The USA is our most significant trading partner, and our nearest neighbor, Canada, will do everything we can to maintain trade relationships.

        End.

        We need a Federal Election.

        Comment


          #5
          Vicki
          Coyne is a free market Conservative. And now the new brand of conservatives have become protectionist tariff loving and anti free trade? How does that square with small government and get government out of the way of business? LOL

          And Canada is not contributing significantly to the border issues relative to Mexico. And it's not about our internal drug issue. If anything the US has a much larger problem with drug demand internally.

          This is not an issue about internal crime rates. Immigrants are less likely to commit crimes. And crime is worse in the US, especially gun crime. Their guns are illegally entering our country.

          Read Coyne Again!
          (Trump) He does not necessarily have that authority – constitutionally, tariffs are Congress’s responsibility – but would have to rely on untested emergency powers, exposing him to legal challenges. If implemented, the tariffs would cause immense havoc, not least for Americans, raising prices for consumers and blowing up integrated continental supply chains, exposing him to political blowback. They are also, needless to say, explicitly prohibited under the trilateral free trade agreement to which he is a signatory.​

          Comment


            #6
            This is a power struggle.

            Who got the invitation to the inauguration? Who has the power in Canada, Premier Smith.

            We need an election.

            Comment


              #7
              And the sooner the Liberal power brokers of central Canada demand an election, the better off we can negotiate to become.

              Comment


                #8
                Originally posted by westernvicki View Post
                This is a power struggle.

                Who got the invitation to the inauguration? Who has the power in Canada, Premier Smith.

                We need an election.
                This is a Calgary class room earlier this week.The hallway....

                Comment


                  #9
                  Yes, and this over crowding of all resources is in ever seam of our Nation.


                  We need an election.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Vicki, so you are under the impression that Trump will change his tune with a new government when his objective is to bring back jobs and industry to the USA? Why would he change that?

                    That means less for Canada and Mexico, not more!

                    And all you can say is we need an election in the face of Trump blowing up the free trade agreement?

                    You are crazy if you think PP will solve the Donald's objection to free trade!

                    Comment


                      #11
                      4.9 million Temp VISAS expire in next 13 months....we can deport too!

                      Comment


                        #12
                        "You are crazy if you think PP will solve the Donald's objection to free trade!"

                        You are crazier to think current Libtards can do better!

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Yeah lets start deporting farm workers and temporary workers so you have even a harder time finding employees! That sounds like a good plan in a very labour short industry! LOL

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Originally posted by newguy View Post

                            This is a Calgary class room earlier this week.The hallway....
                            If you had some critical thinking skills... you would realize this picture proves the exact opposite of the "gotcha" you had intended.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Originally posted by chuckChuck View Post
                              [*]because it is wrong to appease a bully, for starters;
                              Surprised to see you post that.

                              I have been implementing that logic every time I interact with the bully of Agriville.

                              Rather than ignore you and hope you take your bullying elsewhere, I confront your bullying and use it to allow you to further discredit yourself.

                              Comment

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