Tories losing ground in three battleground provinces: poll
OTTAWA — A new poll suggests the Liberals are widening the gap in three key provinces, all expected battlegrounds to form the next federal government.
[url]https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/federal_election/tories-losing-ground-in-three-battleground-provinces-poll[/url]
A Leger/Postmedia poll, released Wednesday, suggests that nationwide the Liberals sit at 44 per cent and the Conservatives at 38 per cent in support, a gap of six points and consistent with the previous week’s numbers.
But more in-depth research in Ontario, Quebec and B.C. suggests the Liberals’ lead on the Conservatives is growing in those three provinces.
In B.C. and Ontario, Mark Carney’s Liberals hold a 10-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. That’s despite support for Poilievre’s troops now being higher in both B.C. and Ontario than it was in either the 2019 and 2021 federal elections.
“Certainly, for the Conservatives, B.C. and Ontario are critical, critical battlegrounds for them, and being 10 points behind the Liberals is not good news,” said Leger executive vice-president Andrew Enns.
Part of the reason, Enns says, is the Liberals are reaching support levels in all three provinces that are higher than anything seen during Justin Trudeau’s tenure since 2015.
In B.C., the Liberals are polling at 48 per cent, whereas in Ontario their support is at 49 per cent. The last time the party won a majority government, in 2015, it garnered 35.2 per cent and 44.8 per cent of the vote in those provinces, respectively.
Three months ago, on the eve of Justin Trudeau’s resignation as party leader, the Liberals trailed the Conservatives by roughly 20 points in Ontario.
Enns says the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and B.C.’s lower mainland tend to be must-win areas for the Conservatives to form government. But nearly two weeks into the election campaign, Poilievre’s team trails the Liberals by five and 15 points in those regions, respectively.
“Those are really crucial areas for Conservatives to make inroads if they’re going to get that majority. And you know, at this stage of the game, I’m sure they’re happy people aren’t voting today,” he noted.
OTTAWA — A new poll suggests the Liberals are widening the gap in three key provinces, all expected battlegrounds to form the next federal government.
[url]https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/federal_election/tories-losing-ground-in-three-battleground-provinces-poll[/url]
A Leger/Postmedia poll, released Wednesday, suggests that nationwide the Liberals sit at 44 per cent and the Conservatives at 38 per cent in support, a gap of six points and consistent with the previous week’s numbers.
But more in-depth research in Ontario, Quebec and B.C. suggests the Liberals’ lead on the Conservatives is growing in those three provinces.
In B.C. and Ontario, Mark Carney’s Liberals hold a 10-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. That’s despite support for Poilievre’s troops now being higher in both B.C. and Ontario than it was in either the 2019 and 2021 federal elections.
“Certainly, for the Conservatives, B.C. and Ontario are critical, critical battlegrounds for them, and being 10 points behind the Liberals is not good news,” said Leger executive vice-president Andrew Enns.
Part of the reason, Enns says, is the Liberals are reaching support levels in all three provinces that are higher than anything seen during Justin Trudeau’s tenure since 2015.
In B.C., the Liberals are polling at 48 per cent, whereas in Ontario their support is at 49 per cent. The last time the party won a majority government, in 2015, it garnered 35.2 per cent and 44.8 per cent of the vote in those provinces, respectively.
Three months ago, on the eve of Justin Trudeau’s resignation as party leader, the Liberals trailed the Conservatives by roughly 20 points in Ontario.
Enns says the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and B.C.’s lower mainland tend to be must-win areas for the Conservatives to form government. But nearly two weeks into the election campaign, Poilievre’s team trails the Liberals by five and 15 points in those regions, respectively.
“Those are really crucial areas for Conservatives to make inroads if they’re going to get that majority. And you know, at this stage of the game, I’m sure they’re happy people aren’t voting today,” he noted.
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